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icon for Huon Valley市長選舉獲勝者
政治·馬約拉爾(Mayoral

Huon Valley市長選舉獲勝者

icon for Huon Valley市長選舉獲勝者
政治·馬約拉爾(Mayoral

Huon Valley市長選舉獲勝者

Abby McKibben 34%

馬克·傑索普 25%

Paul Gibson 22%

莎莉·道爾 10.4%

Polymarket

$15,917 交易量

Abby McKibben 34%

馬克·傑索普 25%

Paul Gibson 22%

莎莉·道爾 10.4%

Polymarket

$15,917 交易量

icon for Abby McKibben

Abby McKibben

$1,847 交易量

34%

icon for 馬克·傑索普

馬克·傑索普

$203 交易量

25%

icon for Paul Gibson

Paul Gibson

$4,560 交易量

22%

icon for 莎莉·道爾

莎莉·道爾

$7,045 交易量

11%

icon for Toby Thorpe

Toby Thorpe

$1,591 交易量

4%

icon for 馬歇爾·卡拉漢

馬歇爾·卡拉漢

$671 交易量

<1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Huon Valley mayoral race stays tightly contested ahead of the October 27, 2026 postal ballot because nominations close today with a broad field of local candidates and no dominant frontrunner. Incumbent Mayor Sally Doyle benefits from recent council visibility on planning tools, tourism, and services plus an LGAT award, yet trader pricing reflects uncertainty over experienced challengers including Mark Jessop, Paul Gibson, Toby Thorpe, and Marshall Callaghan. The reduction to seven councillors and compulsory postal voting across Tasmania further spreads support. Developments that could create separation include candidate statements released after nominations close, early October ballot pack distribution, any late endorsements or policy contrasts on local issues like planning and infrastructure, and the first count results from the Tasmanian Electoral Commission starting October 28.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$15,917
結束日期
2026-10-28
市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Huon Valley mayoral race stays tightly contested ahead of the October 27, 2026 postal ballot because nominations close today with a broad field of local candidates and no dominant frontrunner. Incumbent Mayor Sally Doyle benefits from recent council visibility on planning tools, tourism, and services plus an LGAT award, yet trader pricing reflects uncertainty over experienced challengers including Mark Jessop, Paul Gibson, Toby Thorpe, and Marshall Callaghan. The reduction to seven councillors and compulsory postal voting across Tasmania further spreads support. Developments that could create separation include candidate statements released after nominations close, early October ballot pack distribution, any late endorsements or policy contrasts on local issues like planning and infrastructure, and the first count results from the Tasmanian Electoral Commission starting October 28.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$15,917
結束日期
2026-10-28
市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Huon Valley市長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abby McKibben" at 34%, followed by "馬克·傑索普" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Huon Valley市長選舉獲勝者" has generated $15.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Huon Valley市長選舉獲勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Huon Valley市長選舉獲勝者" is "Abby McKibben" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬克·傑索普" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Huon Valley市長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.