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icon for Groulx魁北克國民議會選舉獲勝者
世界·加拿大

Groulx魁北克國民議會選舉獲勝者

icon for Groulx魁北克國民議會選舉獲勝者
世界·加拿大

Groulx魁北克國民議會選舉獲勝者

瑪麗-克勞德·薩拉贊 48%

Eric Girard 42%

Julie Tourangeau 35%

瑪麗-諾艾爾·奧貝爾坦 24%

Polymarket
最新

瑪麗-克勞德·薩拉贊 48%

Eric Girard 42%

Julie Tourangeau 35%

瑪麗-諾艾爾·奧貝爾坦 24%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 瑪麗-克勞德·薩拉贊

瑪麗-克勞德·薩拉贊

$20 交易量

48%

icon for Eric Girard

Eric Girard

$20 交易量

42%

icon for Julie Tourangeau

Julie Tourangeau

$102 交易量

25%

icon for 瑪麗-諾艾爾·奧貝爾坦

瑪麗-諾艾爾·奧貝爾坦

$94 交易量

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Groulx riding, the recent nomination of Parti Québécois candidate Marie-Claude Sarrazin—a prosecutor from the Gallant Commission examining the SAAQclic scandal—has sharpened competition against incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec Finance Minister Eric Girard. Sarrazin's emphasis on public accountability and fiscal oversight has drawn attention to CAQ governance records ahead of the October 5 provincial election. Projections from models like 338Canada and Qc125 continue to favor the CAQ with roughly 70% odds of holding the seat, yet Polymarket pricing reflects a narrower contest influenced by the PQ's targeted challenge, Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau, and Québec solidaire's Marie-Noëlle Aubertin. Provincial polling trends and local turnout patterns remain key variables that could shift the outcome.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$236
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Groulx riding, the recent nomination of Parti Québécois candidate Marie-Claude Sarrazin—a prosecutor from the Gallant Commission examining the SAAQclic scandal—has sharpened competition against incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec Finance Minister Eric Girard. Sarrazin's emphasis on public accountability and fiscal oversight has drawn attention to CAQ governance records ahead of the October 5 provincial election. Projections from models like 338Canada and Qc125 continue to favor the CAQ with roughly 70% odds of holding the seat, yet Polymarket pricing reflects a narrower contest influenced by the PQ's targeted challenge, Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau, and Québec solidaire's Marie-Noëlle Aubertin. Provincial polling trends and local turnout patterns remain key variables that could shift the outcome.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$236
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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icon for 索爾·扎內蒂會贏得下一屆讓-勒薩熱魁北克國民議會選舉嗎？

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56%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Groulx魁北克國民議會選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "瑪麗-克勞德·薩拉贊" at 48%, followed by "Eric Girard" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Groulx魁北克國民議會選舉獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Groulx魁北克國民議會選舉獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Groulx魁北克國民議會選舉獲勝者" is "瑪麗-克勞德·薩拉贊" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eric Girard" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Groulx魁北克國民議會選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.