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icon for Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
世界·加拿大

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
世界·加拿大

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Patrick Paquet 44%

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 43%

Stéphanie Martin 1.1%

Charles Hudon <1%

Polymarket

$10,108 交易量

Patrick Paquet 44%

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 43%

Stéphanie Martin 1.1%

Charles Hudon <1%

Polymarket

$10,108 交易量

icon for Patrick Paquet

Patrick Paquet

$7,661 交易量

31%

icon for Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

$506 交易量

43%

icon for Stéphanie Martin

Stéphanie Martin

$1,058 交易量

1%

icon for Charles Hudon

Charles Hudon

$883 交易量

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest in Vanier-Les Rivières after the retirement of the incumbent CAQ MNA. Recent 338Canada projections place the Conservative Party of Quebec (CPQ/PCQ) candidate Patrick Paquet narrowly ahead at around 30 percent support, followed closely by CAQ nominee Françoise Faverjon-Fortin at 27 percent and Parti Québécois candidate Stéphanie Martin at 24 percent, with Liberals and Québec solidaire trailing. This reflects broader provincial polling trends showing PQ gains province-wide alongside PCQ strength in the Quebec City region, where local issues like fiscal policy and municipal experience factor into voter assessments. The nomination deadline of September 17 and final weeks of campaigning, including advance polls, leave room for shifts based on turnout and targeted outreach in this competitive riding. Trader consensus reflects the narrow margins and uncertainty typical of such multi-candidate races.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$10,108
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest in Vanier-Les Rivières after the retirement of the incumbent CAQ MNA. Recent 338Canada projections place the Conservative Party of Quebec (CPQ/PCQ) candidate Patrick Paquet narrowly ahead at around 30 percent support, followed closely by CAQ nominee Françoise Faverjon-Fortin at 27 percent and Parti Québécois candidate Stéphanie Martin at 24 percent, with Liberals and Québec solidaire trailing. This reflects broader provincial polling trends showing PQ gains province-wide alongside PCQ strength in the Quebec City region, where local issues like fiscal policy and municipal experience factor into voter assessments. The nomination deadline of September 17 and final weeks of campaigning, including advance polls, leave room for shifts based on turnout and targeted outreach in this competitive riding. Trader consensus reflects the narrow margins and uncertainty typical of such multi-candidate races.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$10,108
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Françoise Faverjon-Fortin" at 43%, followed by "Patrick Paquet" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" has generated $10.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Françoise Faverjon-Fortin" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Patrick Paquet" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.