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icon for Beauharnois魁北克國民議會選舉贏家
世界·加拿大

Beauharnois魁北克國民議會選舉贏家

icon for Beauharnois魁北克國民議會選舉贏家
世界·加拿大

Beauharnois魁北克國民議會選舉贏家

Claude Reid 62%

Alexandre Daneau 33%

Charles Royer Tremblay 3.6%

Angélika Homère 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

Claude Reid 62%

Alexandre Daneau 33%

Charles Royer Tremblay 3.6%

Angélika Homère 1.3%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Claude Reid

Claude Reid

$772 交易量

62%

icon for Alexandre Daneau

Alexandre Daneau

$835 交易量

33%

icon for Charles Royer Tremblay

Charles Royer Tremblay

$197 交易量

4%

icon for Angélika Homère

Angélika Homère

$2,069 交易量

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Claude Reid, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA since 2018, holds the strongest position in the Beauharnois riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, reflecting trader consensus on his established local profile and party infrastructure. Alexandre Daneau, the Parti Québécois nominee who secured his party's nod with 83% in a June 2026 vote, trails as the main challenger amid broader provincial polling that shows the PQ competitive but the CAQ retaining strength in certain Montérégie seats. Other confirmed candidates, including Liberal Charles Royer Tremblay, Conservative Angélika Homère, and Québec solidaire's Virginie Hockers, register minimal implied probabilities consistent with limited recent momentum or name recognition in the riding. Nomination deadlines close on September 17, with no major late developments altering the field. Historical results transposed to the current map and 338Canada projections leaning toward the CAQ further align with current pricing, though tight provincial dynamics leave room for shifts based on turnout or campaign events in the final weeks.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$3,873
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Claude Reid, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA since 2018, holds the strongest position in the Beauharnois riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, reflecting trader consensus on his established local profile and party infrastructure. Alexandre Daneau, the Parti Québécois nominee who secured his party's nod with 83% in a June 2026 vote, trails as the main challenger amid broader provincial polling that shows the PQ competitive but the CAQ retaining strength in certain Montérégie seats. Other confirmed candidates, including Liberal Charles Royer Tremblay, Conservative Angélika Homère, and Québec solidaire's Virginie Hockers, register minimal implied probabilities consistent with limited recent momentum or name recognition in the riding. Nomination deadlines close on September 17, with no major late developments altering the field. Historical results transposed to the current map and 338Canada projections leaning toward the CAQ further align with current pricing, though tight provincial dynamics leave room for shifts based on turnout or campaign events in the final weeks.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$3,873
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Beauharnois魁北克國民議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude Reid" at 62%, followed by "Alexandre Daneau" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Beauharnois魁北克國民議會選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Beauharnois魁北克國民議會選舉贏家," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Beauharnois魁北克國民議會選舉贏家" is "Claude Reid" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandre Daneau" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Beauharnois魁北克國民議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.