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icon for Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
世界·加拿大

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
世界·加拿大

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Sylvie Tanguay 55%

Geneviève Hébert 39%

Jacqueline Belleau 9%

Mia Fréchette 6%

Polymarket
最新

Sylvie Tanguay 55%

Geneviève Hébert 39%

Jacqueline Belleau 9%

Mia Fréchette 6%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Sylvie Tanguay

Sylvie Tanguay

$979 交易量

44%

icon for Geneviève Hébert

Geneviève Hébert

$2,739 交易量

39%

icon for Jacqueline Belleau

Jacqueline Belleau

$852 交易量

9%

icon for Mia Fréchette

Mia Fréchette

$963 交易量

6%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight race in Saint-François between Parti Québécois candidate Sylvie Tanguay and incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Geneviève Hébert stems from the riding's competitive dynamics ahead of the October 5 provincial election. Recent projections from 338Canada and Qc125 place the PQ narrowly ahead in popular vote estimates for the district, consistent with the party's provincial polling lead, while Hébert benefits from incumbency and local name recognition as she seeks a third term. Key factors sustaining the closeness include voter focus on health care, immigration targets for temporary foreign workers in the Coaticook area, and broader economic pressures, alongside strong showings by Liberal Jacqueline Belleau and Québec solidaire's Mia Fréchette. Further separation could emerge from the final weeks of campaigning, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial momentum before nominations close on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$5,533
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight race in Saint-François between Parti Québécois candidate Sylvie Tanguay and incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Geneviève Hébert stems from the riding's competitive dynamics ahead of the October 5 provincial election. Recent projections from 338Canada and Qc125 place the PQ narrowly ahead in popular vote estimates for the district, consistent with the party's provincial polling lead, while Hébert benefits from incumbency and local name recognition as she seeks a third term. Key factors sustaining the closeness include voter focus on health care, immigration targets for temporary foreign workers in the Coaticook area, and broader economic pressures, alongside strong showings by Liberal Jacqueline Belleau and Québec solidaire's Mia Fréchette. Further separation could emerge from the final weeks of campaigning, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial momentum before nominations close on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$5,533
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sylvie Tanguay" at 44%, followed by "Geneviève Hébert" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Sylvie Tanguay" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Geneviève Hébert" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.