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icon for 魁北克南海岸國民議會選舉贏家

魁北克南海岸國民議會選舉贏家

icon for 魁北克南海岸國民議會選舉贏家

魁北克南海岸國民議會選舉贏家

瓦萊麗·哈梅爾 59%

Frédéric Poulin 35%

馬修·里維斯特 22%

南希·聖皮耶 7.0%

Polymarket
最新

瓦萊麗·哈梅爾 59%

Frédéric Poulin 35%

馬修·里維斯特 22%

南希·聖皮耶 7.0%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 瓦萊麗·哈梅爾

瓦萊麗·哈梅爾

$360 交易量

59%

icon for Frédéric Poulin

Frédéric Poulin

$18 交易量

35%

icon for 馬修·里維斯特

馬修·里維斯特

$18 交易量

22%

icon for 南希·聖皮耶

南希·聖皮耶

$189 交易量

18%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely matched trader consensus around Mathieu Rivest of the Coalition Avenir Québec and Valérie Hamel of the Parti Québécois reflects a competitive three-way dynamic in this Bas-Saint-Laurent riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, vote. Rivest, the incumbent seeking a second term, benefits from established name recognition, while Hamel, a nurse practitioner who moved into the area in 2019 and was confirmed as the PQ nominee in early August, emphasizes local health-care access and decentralization. Frédéric Poulin of the Parti conservateur du Québec remains a factor given the party's prior showing in the riding, and Nancy St-Pierre of the Parti libéral du Québec trails. Provincial polling volatility, with the CAQ facing pressure and the PQ gaining ground in francophone regions, keeps the outcome sensitive to campaign developments through nomination close and advance voting.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$585
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely matched trader consensus around Mathieu Rivest of the Coalition Avenir Québec and Valérie Hamel of the Parti Québécois reflects a competitive three-way dynamic in this Bas-Saint-Laurent riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, vote. Rivest, the incumbent seeking a second term, benefits from established name recognition, while Hamel, a nurse practitioner who moved into the area in 2019 and was confirmed as the PQ nominee in early August, emphasizes local health-care access and decentralization. Frédéric Poulin of the Parti conservateur du Québec remains a factor given the party's prior showing in the riding, and Nancy St-Pierre of the Parti libéral du Québec trails. Provincial polling volatility, with the CAQ facing pressure and the PQ gaining ground in francophone regions, keeps the outcome sensitive to campaign developments through nomination close and advance voting.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$585
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"魁北克南海岸國民議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "瓦萊麗·哈梅爾" at 59%, followed by "Frédéric Poulin" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"魁北克南海岸國民議會選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "魁北克南海岸國民議會選舉贏家," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "魁北克南海岸國民議會選舉贏家" is "瓦萊麗·哈梅爾" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Frédéric Poulin" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "魁北克南海岸國民議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.