The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz alliance led by Yair Golan, remain tightly bunched in recent polling averages around 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting limited recovery for the Zionist left amid voter migration toward centrist lists such as Yashar and Together. Persistent effects from the 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent conflicts have shaped bloc competition without delivering decisive momentum to any single opposition grouping, while surplus vote agreements and the 3.25% threshold add mechanical uncertainty to final allocations. Recent primaries and candidate slate finalization have stabilized the party's internal positioning but have not shifted broader trends. Late-campaign security developments, turnout variations among key demographics, or shifts in centrist support could widen the range by altering surplus transfers or overall opposition cohesion.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於10-11 33%
少於8 31%
8-9 18%
12-13 15.9%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於8
31%
8-9
18%
10-11
23%
12-13
13%
14席或以上
5%
10-11 33%
少於8 31%
8-9 18%
12-13 15.9%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於8
$1,232 交易量
31%
8-9
$283 交易量
18%
10-11
$309 交易量
23%
12-13
$237 交易量
13%
14席或以上
$185 交易量
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz alliance led by Yair Golan, remain tightly bunched in recent polling averages around 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting limited recovery for the Zionist left amid voter migration toward centrist lists such as Yashar and Together. Persistent effects from the 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent conflicts have shaped bloc competition without delivering decisive momentum to any single opposition grouping, while surplus vote agreements and the 3.25% threshold add mechanical uncertainty to final allocations. Recent primaries and candidate slate finalization have stabilized the party's internal positioning but have not shifted broader trends. Late-campaign security developments, turnout variations among key demographics, or shifts in centrist support could widen the range by altering surplus transfers or overall opposition cohesion.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,246結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz alliance led by Yair Golan, remain tightly bunched in recent polling averages around 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting limited recovery for the Zionist left amid voter migration toward centrist lists such as Yashar and Together. Persistent effects from the 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent conflicts have shaped bloc competition without delivering decisive momentum to any single opposition grouping, while surplus vote agreements and the 3.25% threshold add mechanical uncertainty to final allocations. Recent primaries and candidate slate finalization have stabilized the party's internal positioning but have not shifted broader trends. Late-campaign security developments, turnout variations among key demographics, or shifts in centrist support could widen the range by altering surplus transfers or overall opposition cohesion.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$2,246結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETThe Democrats, the Labor-Meretz alliance led by Yair Golan, remain tightly bunched in recent polling averages around 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting limited recovery for the Zionist left amid voter migration toward centrist lists such as Yashar and Together. Persistent effects from the 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent conflicts have shaped bloc competition without delivering decisive momentum to any single opposition grouping, while surplus vote agreements and the 3.25% threshold add mechanical uncertainty to final allocations. Recent primaries and candidate slate finalization have stabilized the party's internal positioning but have not shifted broader trends. Late-campaign security developments, turnout variations among key demographics, or shifts in centrist support could widen the range by altering surplus transfers or overall opposition cohesion.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions