Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election show Blue and White consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold, with most surveys placing its projected share between 0.4% and 2.1%. This positioning stems from voter fragmentation in the center, where newer lists such as Yashar and Together have drawn support away from established centrist options. Benny Gantz's party has struggled to regain momentum despite attempts at alliances and emphasis on security issues. Traders' tight distribution across the lowest bins reflects these sustained trends, though late developments including final list approvals, turnout shifts among key blocs, or successful last-minute partnerships could still alter the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於少於0.75% 51%
0.75-1.25% 37%
1.25-2% 22%
2-3.25% 20%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於0.75%
51%
0.75-1.25%
37%
1.25-2%
22%
2-3.25%
20%
3.25%以上
7%
少於0.75% 51%
0.75-1.25% 37%
1.25-2% 22%
2-3.25% 20%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於0.75%
$244 交易量
51%
0.75-1.25%
$433 交易量
37%
1.25-2%
$15 交易量
22%
2-3.25%
$15 交易量
20%
3.25%以上
$247 交易量
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election show Blue and White consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold, with most surveys placing its projected share between 0.4% and 2.1%. This positioning stems from voter fragmentation in the center, where newer lists such as Yashar and Together have drawn support away from established centrist options. Benny Gantz's party has struggled to regain momentum despite attempts at alliances and emphasis on security issues. Traders' tight distribution across the lowest bins reflects these sustained trends, though late developments including final list approvals, turnout shifts among key blocs, or successful last-minute partnerships could still alter the outcome before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
交易量
$955結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election show Blue and White consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold, with most surveys placing its projected share between 0.4% and 2.1%. This positioning stems from voter fragmentation in the center, where newer lists such as Yashar and Together have drawn support away from established centrist options. Benny Gantz's party has struggled to regain momentum despite attempts at alliances and emphasis on security issues. Traders' tight distribution across the lowest bins reflects these sustained trends, though late developments including final list approvals, turnout shifts among key blocs, or successful last-minute partnerships could still alter the outcome before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$955結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETRecent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election show Blue and White consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold, with most surveys placing its projected share between 0.4% and 2.1%. This positioning stems from voter fragmentation in the center, where newer lists such as Yashar and Together have drawn support away from established centrist options. Benny Gantz's party has struggled to regain momentum despite attempts at alliances and emphasis on security issues. Traders' tight distribution across the lowest bins reflects these sustained trends, though late developments including final list approvals, turnout shifts among key blocs, or successful last-minute partnerships could still alter the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions