Recent reunification of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad into the Joint List in August 2026, excluding Ra’am, has introduced volatility in Arab-sector polling amid Israel’s 2026 legislative contest. National surveys from early September project the reunited list near 6–8 seats, consistent with roughly 5–7% national vote share, while Ra’am holds separately at 4–5 seats. Trader odds remain closely balanced because broader bloc shifts—such as Yashar and Together gains eroding the Netanyahu-aligned tally—coexist with uncertain Arab turnout and split-vote dynamics. Minor changes in participation rates or last-minute list finalization could push the share above or below key thresholds before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於少於4.5% 38%
7.5%以上 36%
5.5-6.5% 30%
6.5-7.5% 30%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於4.5%
38%
4.5-5.5%
29%
5.5-6.5%
30%
6.5-7.5%
30%
7.5%以上
36%
少於4.5% 38%
7.5%以上 36%
5.5-6.5% 30%
6.5-7.5% 30%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於4.5%
$0 交易量
38%
4.5-5.5%
$0 交易量
29%
5.5-6.5%
$0 交易量
30%
6.5-7.5%
$0 交易量
30%
7.5%以上
$0 交易量
36%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent reunification of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad into the Joint List in August 2026, excluding Ra’am, has introduced volatility in Arab-sector polling amid Israel’s 2026 legislative contest. National surveys from early September project the reunited list near 6–8 seats, consistent with roughly 5–7% national vote share, while Ra’am holds separately at 4–5 seats. Trader odds remain closely balanced because broader bloc shifts—such as Yashar and Together gains eroding the Netanyahu-aligned tally—coexist with uncertain Arab turnout and split-vote dynamics. Minor changes in participation rates or last-minute list finalization could push the share above or below key thresholds before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent reunification of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad into the Joint List in August 2026, excluding Ra’am, has introduced volatility in Arab-sector polling amid Israel’s 2026 legislative contest. National surveys from early September project the reunited list near 6–8 seats, consistent with roughly 5–7% national vote share, while Ra’am holds separately at 4–5 seats. Trader odds remain closely balanced because broader bloc shifts—such as Yashar and Together gains eroding the Netanyahu-aligned tally—coexist with uncertain Arab turnout and split-vote dynamics. Minor changes in participation rates or last-minute list finalization could push the share above or below key thresholds before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETRecent reunification of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad into the Joint List in August 2026, excluding Ra’am, has introduced volatility in Arab-sector polling amid Israel’s 2026 legislative contest. National surveys from early September project the reunited list near 6–8 seats, consistent with roughly 5–7% national vote share, while Ra’am holds separately at 4–5 seats. Trader odds remain closely balanced because broader bloc shifts—such as Yashar and Together gains eroding the Netanyahu-aligned tally—coexist with uncertain Arab turnout and split-vote dynamics. Minor changes in participation rates or last-minute list finalization could push the share above or below key thresholds before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions