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icon for 以色列選舉: SHAS席位數?

以色列選舉: SHAS席位數?

icon for 以色列選舉: SHAS席位數?

以色列選舉: SHAS席位數?

8-9 40%

6-7 23%

10-11 17%

12席或以上 12%

Polymarket
最新

8-9 40%

6-7 23%

10-11 17%

12席或以上 12%

Polymarket
最新

少於6席

$564 交易量

7%

6-7

$1,412 交易量

23%

8-9

$979 交易量

40%

10-11

$750 交易量

20%

12席或以上

$1,690 交易量

12%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, at roughly eight seats. This reflects consistent results across multiple surveys from mid-September, with individual figures ranging from seven to ten. Shas has faced pressure from voter concerns over Haredi draft exemptions and competition from other right-wing lists, prompting campaign efforts to highlight military service and appeal to traditional supporters. The party finalized its slate in early September, incorporating a reservist officer in a realistic position. Trader consensus on 8-9 seats aligns with these aggregates, while wider ranges account for typical polling variance and late-campaign shifts in turnout or alliances.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$5,395
結束日期
2026-10-27
市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, at roughly eight seats. This reflects consistent results across multiple surveys from mid-September, with individual figures ranging from seven to ten. Shas has faced pressure from voter concerns over Haredi draft exemptions and competition from other right-wing lists, prompting campaign efforts to highlight military service and appeal to traditional supporters. The party finalized its slate in early September, incorporating a reservist officer in a realistic position. Trader consensus on 8-9 seats aligns with these aggregates, while wider ranges account for typical polling variance and late-campaign shifts in turnout or alliances.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$5,395
結束日期
2026-10-27
市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"以色列選舉: SHAS席位數?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "8-9" at 40%, followed by "6-7" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"以色列選舉: SHAS席位數?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "以色列選舉: SHAS席位數?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "以色列選舉: SHAS席位數?" is "8-9" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6-7" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "以色列選舉: SHAS席位數?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.