Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show the CDU polling at 18–20 percent, down sharply from its 28.2 percent result in the 2023 repeat vote, placing it in a tight three-way contest with the Left party (19–22 percent) and AfD (17–19 percent). The CDU’s decline stems from voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition’s performance, compounded by the July withdrawal of governing mayor Kai Wegner following criticism of his handling of a major January power outage. His replacement by Stefan Evers as lead candidate has stabilized CDU support in subsequent surveys but has not restored earlier leads. With five parties likely clearing the threshold and no two-party majority projected, seat allocations for the CDU cluster around the low-to-mid 30s under current trends, consistent with trader emphasis on that range while leaving room for modest polling variance or late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於30-34 57%
25-29 19%
35-39 17%
40-44 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
<25
2%
25-29
19%
30-34
57%
35-39
17%
40-44
13%
45+
4%
30-34 57%
25-29 19%
35-39 17%
40-44 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
<25
$366 交易量
2%
25-29
$1,798 交易量
19%
30-34
$892 交易量
57%
35-39
$2,097 交易量
17%
40-44
$143 交易量
13%
45+
$1,277 交易量
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show the CDU polling at 18–20 percent, down sharply from its 28.2 percent result in the 2023 repeat vote, placing it in a tight three-way contest with the Left party (19–22 percent) and AfD (17–19 percent). The CDU’s decline stems from voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition’s performance, compounded by the July withdrawal of governing mayor Kai Wegner following criticism of his handling of a major January power outage. His replacement by Stefan Evers as lead candidate has stabilized CDU support in subsequent surveys but has not restored earlier leads. With five parties likely clearing the threshold and no two-party majority projected, seat allocations for the CDU cluster around the low-to-mid 30s under current trends, consistent with trader emphasis on that range while leaving room for modest polling variance or late shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
交易量
$6,574結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show the CDU polling at 18–20 percent, down sharply from its 28.2 percent result in the 2023 repeat vote, placing it in a tight three-way contest with the Left party (19–22 percent) and AfD (17–19 percent). The CDU’s decline stems from voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition’s performance, compounded by the July withdrawal of governing mayor Kai Wegner following criticism of his handling of a major January power outage. His replacement by Stefan Evers as lead candidate has stabilized CDU support in subsequent surveys but has not restored earlier leads. With five parties likely clearing the threshold and no two-party majority projected, seat allocations for the CDU cluster around the low-to-mid 30s under current trends, consistent with trader emphasis on that range while leaving room for modest polling variance or late shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
交易量
$6,574結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show the CDU polling at 18–20 percent, down sharply from its 28.2 percent result in the 2023 repeat vote, placing it in a tight three-way contest with the Left party (19–22 percent) and AfD (17–19 percent). The CDU’s decline stems from voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition’s performance, compounded by the July withdrawal of governing mayor Kai Wegner following criticism of his handling of a major January power outage. His replacement by Stefan Evers as lead candidate has stabilized CDU support in subsequent surveys but has not restored earlier leads. With five parties likely clearing the threshold and no two-party majority projected, seat allocations for the CDU cluster around the low-to-mid 30s under current trends, consistent with trader emphasis on that range while leaving room for modest polling variance or late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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