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icon for 裏約熱內盧參議院選舉：第二名
政治·巴西

裏約熱內盧參議院選舉：第二名

icon for 裏約熱內盧參議院選舉：第二名
政治·巴西

裏約熱內盧參議院選舉：第二名

馬科斯·迪亞斯 43%

盧西亞諾·馬托斯 42%

奧·克萊門特 22%

安德烈·蒙特羅 21%

Polymarket
最新

馬科斯·迪亞斯 43%

盧西亞諾·馬托斯 42%

奧·克萊門特 22%

安德烈·蒙特羅 21%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 馬科斯·迪亞斯

馬科斯·迪亞斯

$41 交易量

43%

icon for 盧西亞諾·馬托斯

盧西亞諾·馬托斯

$41 交易量

42%

icon for 奧·克萊門特

奧·克萊門特

$41 交易量

22%

icon for 安德烈·蒙特羅

安德烈·蒙特羅

$41 交易量

21%

icon for 馬塞洛·克里韋拉

馬塞洛·克里韋拉

$41 交易量

21%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$61 交易量

14%

icon for 莫妮卡·貝尼西奧

莫妮卡·貝尼西奧

$61 交易量

14%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$62 交易量

13%

icon for 卡洛斯·波蒂尼奧

卡洛斯·波蒂尼奧

$41 交易量

11%

icon for 佩德羅·保羅

佩德羅·保羅

$41 交易量

11%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$41 交易量

11%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$41 交易量

11%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$80 交易量

10%

icon for 米歇莉·澤維爾

米歇莉·澤維爾

$78 交易量

8%

icon for 保拉·法尔康

保拉·法尔康

$41 交易量

7%

icon for 卡洛斯·喬爾迪

卡洛斯·喬爾迪

$41 交易量

7%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s October 4, 2026 Senate election keeps trader probabilities tightly clustered, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing Benedita da Silva (PT) ahead at 11-12% while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), and several others trail in the low single digits. Right-leaning support remains split among multiple names, including newer entrants like Luciano Mattos and Helio Secco, after investigations sidelined higher-profile alternatives. This dispersion sustains even odds across contenders, as no candidate has consolidated the non-PT vote ahead of the first-round ballot. Upcoming campaign events and any consolidation among center-right or evangelical blocs could shift positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$793
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s October 4, 2026 Senate election keeps trader probabilities tightly clustered, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing Benedita da Silva (PT) ahead at 11-12% while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), and several others trail in the low single digits. Right-leaning support remains split among multiple names, including newer entrants like Luciano Mattos and Helio Secco, after investigations sidelined higher-profile alternatives. This dispersion sustains even odds across contenders, as no candidate has consolidated the non-PT vote ahead of the first-round ballot. Upcoming campaign events and any consolidation among center-right or evangelical blocs could shift positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$793
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"裏約熱內盧參議院選舉：第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬科斯·迪亞斯" at 43%, followed by "盧西亞諾·馬托斯" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"裏約熱內盧參議院選舉：第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "裏約熱內盧參議院選舉：第二名," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "裏約熱內盧參議院選舉：第二名" is "馬科斯·迪亞斯" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "盧西亞諾·馬托斯" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "裏約熱內盧參議院選舉：第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.