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icon for 南裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第二名
政治·巴西

南裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第二名

icon for 南裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第二名
政治·巴西

南裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第二名

馬塞爾·范·哈特姆 17%

皮門塔 13%

馬努埃拉·達維拉 12%

Rigotto 12%

Polymarket
最新

馬塞爾·范·哈特姆 17%

皮門塔 13%

馬努埃拉·達維拉 12%

Rigotto 12%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 馬塞爾·范·哈特姆

馬塞爾·范·哈特姆

$454 交易量

25%

icon for 皮門塔

皮門塔

$273 交易量

21%

icon for 馬努埃拉·達維拉

馬努埃拉·達維拉

$216 交易量

26%

icon for Rigotto

Rigotto

$196 交易量

12%

icon for 弗雷德里科·安圖內斯

弗雷德里科·安圖內斯

$105 交易量

8%

icon for 盧西亞諾·多·MLB

盧西亞諾·多·MLB

$506 交易量

6%

icon for 米爾頓·卡多索

米爾頓·卡多索

$105 交易量

4%

icon for Renato Jaguarão

Renato Jaguarão

$105 交易量

4%

icon for 塔尼亞·佩雷斯

塔尼亞·佩雷斯

$365 交易量

3%

icon for 丹妮拉·穆希雷斯社會主義者

丹妮拉·穆希雷斯社會主義者

$156 交易量

3%

icon for Ric Jones

Ric Jones

$144 交易量

3%

icon for Regis Ethur

Regis Ethur

$172 交易量

3%

icon for Sanderson

Sanderson

$177 交易量

32%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field for Rio Grande do Sul’s two open Senate seats on October 4, 2026, keeps the contest for second place tightly balanced, with trader pricing reflecting Germano Rigotto’s (MDB) modest lead amid broad competition. Recent polls show Rigotto, Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Ubiratan Sanderson (PL), and Manuela D’Ávila (PSOL) clustered within a few points, driven by the absence of incumbents and cross-party positioning ahead of conventions. Debates and early surveys highlight regional priorities such as economic recovery and federal relations, sustaining uncertainty over final vote splits. Low individual probabilities beyond the top tier underscore how any shift in alliances, turnout among key blocs, or late campaign momentum could reorder the ranking before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$2,973
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field for Rio Grande do Sul’s two open Senate seats on October 4, 2026, keeps the contest for second place tightly balanced, with trader pricing reflecting Germano Rigotto’s (MDB) modest lead amid broad competition. Recent polls show Rigotto, Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Ubiratan Sanderson (PL), and Manuela D’Ávila (PSOL) clustered within a few points, driven by the absence of incumbents and cross-party positioning ahead of conventions. Debates and early surveys highlight regional priorities such as economic recovery and federal relations, sustaining uncertainty over final vote splits. Low individual probabilities beyond the top tier underscore how any shift in alliances, turnout among key blocs, or late campaign momentum could reorder the ranking before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$2,973
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"南裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sanderson" at 32%, followed by "馬努埃拉·達維拉" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"南裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "南裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第二名," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "南裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第二名" is "Sanderson" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬努埃拉·達維拉" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "南裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.