Recent polls from Ideia, Quaest, and American Analytics show a fragmented field for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles clustered within the margin of error in first- and second-vote scenarios. This multi-candidate contest, featuring left-leaning and center-right names, produces fluid rankings where small shifts in voter preference can reorder the top two. High undecided shares and the mechanics of electing two senators simultaneously keep second-place positioning especially uncertain, as traders price the absence of a clear frontrunner or decisive late movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Petter Maahs 19%
瑪麗娜·席爾瓦 13%
韋勒·貢薩爾維斯 11%
西蒙妮·特貝特 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Petter Maahs
19%
瑪麗娜·席爾瓦
13%
韋勒·貢薩爾維斯
11%
西蒙妮·特貝特
11%
索尼婭·弗朗辛
11%
吉列爾梅·德里特
11%
薩萊斯
10%
安德烈·杜·普拉多
9%
德莉安娜·費雷拉博士
9%
瑪伊拉·德·索薩
9%
Geraldo Rufino
8%
馬爾西奧·阿爾維斯
8%
威廉·特謝拉
7%
Ednelson Cesaretti
6%
Petter Maahs 19%
瑪麗娜·席爾瓦 13%
韋勒·貢薩爾維斯 11%
西蒙妮·特貝特 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Petter Maahs
$38 交易量
19%
瑪麗娜·席爾瓦
$38 交易量
13%
韋勒·貢薩爾維斯
$38 交易量
11%
西蒙妮·特貝特
$38 交易量
11%
索尼婭·弗朗辛
$59 交易量
11%
吉列爾梅·德里特
$59 交易量
11%
薩萊斯
$58 交易量
10%
安德烈·杜·普拉多
$38 交易量
9%
德莉安娜·費雷拉博士
$38 交易量
9%
瑪伊拉·德·索薩
$38 交易量
9%
Geraldo Rufino
$38 交易量
8%
馬爾西奧·阿爾維斯
$58 交易量
8%
威廉·特謝拉
$78 交易量
7%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$60 交易量
6%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Ideia, Quaest, and American Analytics show a fragmented field for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles clustered within the margin of error in first- and second-vote scenarios. This multi-candidate contest, featuring left-leaning and center-right names, produces fluid rankings where small shifts in voter preference can reorder the top two. High undecided shares and the mechanics of electing two senators simultaneously keep second-place positioning especially uncertain, as traders price the absence of a clear frontrunner or decisive late movement.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
交易量
$678結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Ideia, Quaest, and American Analytics show a fragmented field for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles clustered within the margin of error in first- and second-vote scenarios. This multi-candidate contest, featuring left-leaning and center-right names, produces fluid rankings where small shifts in voter preference can reorder the top two. High undecided shares and the mechanics of electing two senators simultaneously keep second-place positioning especially uncertain, as traders price the absence of a clear frontrunner or decisive late movement.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$678結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Ideia, Quaest, and American Analytics show a fragmented field for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles clustered within the margin of error in first- and second-vote scenarios. This multi-candidate contest, featuring left-leaning and center-right names, produces fluid rankings where small shifts in voter preference can reorder the top two. High undecided shares and the mechanics of electing two senators simultaneously keep second-place positioning especially uncertain, as traders price the absence of a clear frontrunner or decisive late movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions