Lula maintains a dominant position in Alagoas first-round projections at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's consistent Northeast voting patterns favoring Workers' Party candidates among lower-income and Catholic voters. National polling from early August shows Lula at 38-44% overall, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and others, with regional strength amplifying his edge locally ahead of the October 4 vote. The market's even 50% pricing across many lesser-known contenders and lower odds for right-leaning figures like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema underscore the fragmented opposition and limited inroads in this traditional base. Recent candidate registrations and running-mate announcements, including Alfredo Gaspar's ties to Alagoas, have not altered the established regional dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於盧拉 93%
作家奧古斯托·庫裡 3.5%
獸醫Wilson Grassi 3.5%
Pablo Marçal 3.1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
盧拉
93%
作家奧古斯托·庫裡
3%
獸醫Wilson Grassi
3%
Pablo Marçal
3%
Edmilson Costa
3%
Flavio Bolsonaro
3%
赫茲·迪亞斯
3%
羅納爾多·凱亞多
3%
Rui Costa Pimenta
3%
克拉里亞納·巴拉奧
3%
澤馬
3%
Samara
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
盧拉 93%
作家奧古斯托·庫裡 3.5%
獸醫Wilson Grassi 3.5%
Pablo Marçal 3.1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
盧拉
$574 交易量
93%
作家奧古斯托·庫裡
$141 交易量
3%
獸醫Wilson Grassi
$141 交易量
3%
Pablo Marçal
$152 交易量
3%
Edmilson Costa
$152 交易量
3%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$152 交易量
3%
赫茲·迪亞斯
$152 交易量
3%
羅納爾多·凱亞多
$152 交易量
3%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$152 交易量
3%
克拉里亞納·巴拉奧
$141 交易量
3%
澤馬
$152 交易量
3%
Samara
$107 交易量
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
$107 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a dominant position in Alagoas first-round projections at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's consistent Northeast voting patterns favoring Workers' Party candidates among lower-income and Catholic voters. National polling from early August shows Lula at 38-44% overall, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and others, with regional strength amplifying his edge locally ahead of the October 4 vote. The market's even 50% pricing across many lesser-known contenders and lower odds for right-leaning figures like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema underscore the fragmented opposition and limited inroads in this traditional base. Recent candidate registrations and running-mate announcements, including Alfredo Gaspar's ties to Alagoas, have not altered the established regional dynamics.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
交易量
$2,279結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a dominant position in Alagoas first-round projections at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's consistent Northeast voting patterns favoring Workers' Party candidates among lower-income and Catholic voters. National polling from early August shows Lula at 38-44% overall, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and others, with regional strength amplifying his edge locally ahead of the October 4 vote. The market's even 50% pricing across many lesser-known contenders and lower odds for right-leaning figures like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema underscore the fragmented opposition and limited inroads in this traditional base. Recent candidate registrations and running-mate announcements, including Alfredo Gaspar's ties to Alagoas, have not altered the established regional dynamics.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$2,279結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a dominant position in Alagoas first-round projections at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's consistent Northeast voting patterns favoring Workers' Party candidates among lower-income and Catholic voters. National polling from early August shows Lula at 38-44% overall, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and others, with regional strength amplifying his edge locally ahead of the October 4 vote. The market's even 50% pricing across many lesser-known contenders and lower odds for right-leaning figures like Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema underscore the fragmented opposition and limited inroads in this traditional base. Recent candidate registrations and running-mate announcements, including Alfredo Gaspar's ties to Alagoas, have not altered the established regional dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions