The 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between JHC of the PSDB and Renan Filho of the MDB, with Polymarket prices reflecting recent polling averages that show narrow leads or statistical ties amid undecided shares often exceeding 40 percent. Recent surveys through July indicate JHC holding a modest edge in stimulated scenarios, while spontaneous polling reveals more volatility and substantial room for shifts before the October vote. Formal candidate registrations concluded in mid-August with a limited field of contenders, underscoring the binary dynamic and potential for late consolidation or alliances to influence turnout in key regions. High undecided voters and entrenched state-level party structures continue to compress separation in trader assessments ahead of the first-round contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於JHC 57%
雷南·菲略 42%
馬爾西奧·詹博 3.3%
Lenilda Luna <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
JHC
57%
雷南·菲略
42%
馬爾西奧·詹博
3%
Lenilda Luna
1%
JHC 57%
雷南·菲略 42%
馬爾西奧·詹博 3.3%
Lenilda Luna <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
JHC
$1,414 交易量
57%
雷南·菲略
$1,589 交易量
42%
馬爾西奧·詹博
$149 交易量
3%
Lenilda Luna
$169 交易量
1%
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between JHC of the PSDB and Renan Filho of the MDB, with Polymarket prices reflecting recent polling averages that show narrow leads or statistical ties amid undecided shares often exceeding 40 percent. Recent surveys through July indicate JHC holding a modest edge in stimulated scenarios, while spontaneous polling reveals more volatility and substantial room for shifts before the October vote. Formal candidate registrations concluded in mid-August with a limited field of contenders, underscoring the binary dynamic and potential for late consolidation or alliances to influence turnout in key regions. High undecided voters and entrenched state-level party structures continue to compress separation in trader assessments ahead of the first-round contest.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
交易量
$3,321結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between JHC of the PSDB and Renan Filho of the MDB, with Polymarket prices reflecting recent polling averages that show narrow leads or statistical ties amid undecided shares often exceeding 40 percent. Recent surveys through July indicate JHC holding a modest edge in stimulated scenarios, while spontaneous polling reveals more volatility and substantial room for shifts before the October vote. Formal candidate registrations concluded in mid-August with a limited field of contenders, underscoring the binary dynamic and potential for late consolidation or alliances to influence turnout in key regions. High undecided voters and entrenched state-level party structures continue to compress separation in trader assessments ahead of the first-round contest.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,321結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between JHC of the PSDB and Renan Filho of the MDB, with Polymarket prices reflecting recent polling averages that show narrow leads or statistical ties amid undecided shares often exceeding 40 percent. Recent surveys through July indicate JHC holding a modest edge in stimulated scenarios, while spontaneous polling reveals more volatility and substantial room for shifts before the October vote. Formal candidate registrations concluded in mid-August with a limited field of contenders, underscoring the binary dynamic and potential for late consolidation or alliances to influence turnout in key regions. High undecided voters and entrenched state-level party structures continue to compress separation in trader assessments ahead of the first-round contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions