The open-seat race for Federal District governor features a fragmented field of more than a dozen declared candidates, including acting governor Celina Leão (PP), former governor José Roberto Arruda (PSD), Ricardo Cappelli (PSB), Leandro Grass (PT), Paula Belmonte (PSDB), and others. Recent polls from institutes such as Paraná Pesquisas and Instituto Opinião show Leão ahead in first-round scenarios at 32–35% but without a dominant lead, while Arruda trails at 24–28% and remaining contenders split the balance. A late-August debate and ongoing party coalition talks have yet to consolidate support, leaving trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities across viable names. Runoff dynamics, turnout patterns in key districts, and any late shifts in alliances could widen separations before the October vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Arruda 44%
Cappelli 44%
Celina Leão 44%
Expedito Mendonça 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Arruda
44%
Cappelli
44%
Celina Leão
44%
Expedito Mendonça
44%
Paula Belmonte
44%
Professora Samara Mineiro
44%
Elisson
44%
Leandro Grass
44%
Professor Robson
44%
Kiko Caputo
43%
Arruda 44%
Cappelli 44%
Celina Leão 44%
Expedito Mendonça 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Arruda
$0 交易量
44%
Cappelli
$0 交易量
44%
Celina Leão
$0 交易量
44%
Expedito Mendonça
$0 交易量
44%
Paula Belmonte
$0 交易量
44%
Professora Samara Mineiro
$0 交易量
44%
Elisson
$0 交易量
44%
Leandro Grass
$0 交易量
44%
Professor Robson
$0 交易量
44%
Kiko Caputo
$0 交易量
43%
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open-seat race for Federal District governor features a fragmented field of more than a dozen declared candidates, including acting governor Celina Leão (PP), former governor José Roberto Arruda (PSD), Ricardo Cappelli (PSB), Leandro Grass (PT), Paula Belmonte (PSDB), and others. Recent polls from institutes such as Paraná Pesquisas and Instituto Opinião show Leão ahead in first-round scenarios at 32–35% but without a dominant lead, while Arruda trails at 24–28% and remaining contenders split the balance. A late-August debate and ongoing party coalition talks have yet to consolidate support, leaving trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities across viable names. Runoff dynamics, turnout patterns in key districts, and any late shifts in alliances could widen separations before the October vote.
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open-seat race for Federal District governor features a fragmented field of more than a dozen declared candidates, including acting governor Celina Leão (PP), former governor José Roberto Arruda (PSD), Ricardo Cappelli (PSB), Leandro Grass (PT), Paula Belmonte (PSDB), and others. Recent polls from institutes such as Paraná Pesquisas and Instituto Opinião show Leão ahead in first-round scenarios at 32–35% but without a dominant lead, while Arruda trails at 24–28% and remaining contenders split the balance. A late-August debate and ongoing party coalition talks have yet to consolidate support, leaving trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities across viable names. Runoff dynamics, turnout patterns in key districts, and any late shifts in alliances could widen separations before the October vote.
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The open-seat race for Federal District governor features a fragmented field of more than a dozen declared candidates, including acting governor Celina Leão (PP), former governor José Roberto Arruda (PSD), Ricardo Cappelli (PSB), Leandro Grass (PT), Paula Belmonte (PSDB), and others. Recent polls from institutes such as Paraná Pesquisas and Instituto Opinião show Leão ahead in first-round scenarios at 32–35% but without a dominant lead, while Arruda trails at 24–28% and remaining contenders split the balance. A late-August debate and ongoing party coalition talks have yet to consolidate support, leaving trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities across viable names. Runoff dynamics, turnout patterns in key districts, and any late shifts in alliances could widen separations before the October vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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