Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a strong position as the frontrunner for first place in Pernambuco’s 2026 Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads of 19–29% across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha released between April and mid-August 2026. Voters select two senators, and her support as part of the broader PSB-aligned ticket with gubernatorial candidate João Campos has consolidated backing in key regions, outpacing Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL), who trail in the 12–20% range for the second spot. Recent candidate announcements, including Arraes naming substitutes to strengthen regional alliances, have reinforced her momentum without notable shifts from rivals. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the absence of major late developments that could alter the hierarchy ahead of the October election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Marília Arraes 50%
Carlos Sant'Anna 17%
Gorett Bitu 9%
Mailson da Silva Neto 7%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Marília Arraes
50%
Carlos Sant'Anna
9%
Gorett Bitu
9%
Mailson da Silva Neto
7%
Mariano Macedo
5%
Mendonça Filho
5%
Samuel Timoteo
5%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
7%
Eduardo da Fonte
1%
Humberto Costa
1%
Túlio Gadêlha
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
1%
Marília Arraes 50%
Carlos Sant'Anna 17%
Gorett Bitu 9%
Mailson da Silva Neto 7%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Marília Arraes
$1,070 交易量
50%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$123 交易量
9%
Gorett Bitu
$126 交易量
9%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$154 交易量
7%
Mariano Macedo
$134 交易量
5%
Mendonça Filho
$126 交易量
5%
Samuel Timoteo
$148 交易量
5%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$126 交易量
7%
Eduardo da Fonte
$123 交易量
1%
Humberto Costa
$113 交易量
1%
Túlio Gadêlha
$126 交易量
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$126 交易量
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a strong position as the frontrunner for first place in Pernambuco’s 2026 Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads of 19–29% across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha released between April and mid-August 2026. Voters select two senators, and her support as part of the broader PSB-aligned ticket with gubernatorial candidate João Campos has consolidated backing in key regions, outpacing Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL), who trail in the 12–20% range for the second spot. Recent candidate announcements, including Arraes naming substitutes to strengthen regional alliances, have reinforced her momentum without notable shifts from rivals. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the absence of major late developments that could alter the hierarchy ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,496結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a strong position as the frontrunner for first place in Pernambuco’s 2026 Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads of 19–29% across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha released between April and mid-August 2026. Voters select two senators, and her support as part of the broader PSB-aligned ticket with gubernatorial candidate João Campos has consolidated backing in key regions, outpacing Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL), who trail in the 12–20% range for the second spot. Recent candidate announcements, including Arraes naming substitutes to strengthen regional alliances, have reinforced her momentum without notable shifts from rivals. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the absence of major late developments that could alter the hierarchy ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$2,496結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a strong position as the frontrunner for first place in Pernambuco’s 2026 Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads of 19–29% across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha released between April and mid-August 2026. Voters select two senators, and her support as part of the broader PSB-aligned ticket with gubernatorial candidate João Campos has consolidated backing in key regions, outpacing Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL), who trail in the 12–20% range for the second spot. Recent candidate announcements, including Arraes naming substitutes to strengthen regional alliances, have reinforced her momentum without notable shifts from rivals. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the absence of major late developments that could alter the hierarchy ahead of the October election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions