The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October first-round vote, with recent polls from April and July showing Bezerra (UNIÃO) holding a modest lead over Álvaro Dias (PL) and Cadu Xavier (PT), while other names including Allyson, Dário Barbosa, and Professor Roberio Paulino register lower but visible support amid undecided shares often exceeding 20 percent. Trader prices reflect this dispersion, with no candidate exceeding 43 percent implied probability and multiple outcomes clustered near 20-26 percent. Campaign launches in mid-August and party coalition negotiations have yet to consolidate the field, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, state-specific economic data, or turnout patterns in key municipalities. A clear frontrunner could emerge if early polling trends solidify or if one contender secures major-party backing before September.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Cadu de Lula 52%
達里奧·巴爾博薩 41%
阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯 23%
艾莉森 21%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Cadu de Lula
52%
達里奧·巴爾博薩
41%
阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯
23%
艾莉森
21%
羅德里戈・波索納羅
20%
羅伯里奧·保利諾教授
9%
Henrique Lyra
9%
Arinalda do MLB
7%
卡洛斯·賈拉拉卡
7%
Cadu de Lula 52%
達里奧·巴爾博薩 41%
阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯 23%
艾莉森 21%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Cadu de Lula
$91 交易量
52%
達里奧·巴爾博薩
$77 交易量
41%
阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯
$10 交易量
23%
艾莉森
$29 交易量
21%
羅德里戈・波索納羅
$77 交易量
20%
羅伯里奧·保利諾教授
$69 交易量
9%
Henrique Lyra
$81 交易量
9%
Arinalda do MLB
$55 交易量
7%
卡洛斯·賈拉拉卡
$58 交易量
7%
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October first-round vote, with recent polls from April and July showing Bezerra (UNIÃO) holding a modest lead over Álvaro Dias (PL) and Cadu Xavier (PT), while other names including Allyson, Dário Barbosa, and Professor Roberio Paulino register lower but visible support amid undecided shares often exceeding 20 percent. Trader prices reflect this dispersion, with no candidate exceeding 43 percent implied probability and multiple outcomes clustered near 20-26 percent. Campaign launches in mid-August and party coalition negotiations have yet to consolidate the field, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, state-specific economic data, or turnout patterns in key municipalities. A clear frontrunner could emerge if early polling trends solidify or if one contender secures major-party backing before September.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
交易量
$547結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October first-round vote, with recent polls from April and July showing Bezerra (UNIÃO) holding a modest lead over Álvaro Dias (PL) and Cadu Xavier (PT), while other names including Allyson, Dário Barbosa, and Professor Roberio Paulino register lower but visible support amid undecided shares often exceeding 20 percent. Trader prices reflect this dispersion, with no candidate exceeding 43 percent implied probability and multiple outcomes clustered near 20-26 percent. Campaign launches in mid-August and party coalition negotiations have yet to consolidate the field, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, state-specific economic data, or turnout patterns in key municipalities. A clear frontrunner could emerge if early polling trends solidify or if one contender secures major-party backing before September.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$547結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October first-round vote, with recent polls from April and July showing Bezerra (UNIÃO) holding a modest lead over Álvaro Dias (PL) and Cadu Xavier (PT), while other names including Allyson, Dário Barbosa, and Professor Roberio Paulino register lower but visible support amid undecided shares often exceeding 20 percent. Trader prices reflect this dispersion, with no candidate exceeding 43 percent implied probability and multiple outcomes clustered near 20-26 percent. Campaign launches in mid-August and party coalition negotiations have yet to consolidate the field, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, state-specific economic data, or turnout patterns in key municipalities. A clear frontrunner could emerge if early polling trends solidify or if one contender secures major-party backing before September.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions