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政治·巴西

羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家

icon for 羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家

Clébio Genuíno 46%

法拉·梅斯基塔 45%

羅西·艾雷斯 45%

薩爾達多·桑帕尤 45%

Polymarket
最新

Clébio Genuíno 46%

法拉·梅斯基塔 45%

羅西·艾雷斯 45%

薩爾達多·桑帕尤 45%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Clébio Genuíno

Clébio Genuíno

$0 交易量

46%

icon for 法拉·梅斯基塔

法拉·梅斯基塔

$0 交易量

45%

icon for 羅西·艾雷斯

羅西·艾雷斯

$0 交易量

45%

icon for 薩爾達多·桑帕尤

薩爾達多·桑帕尤

$0 交易量

45%

icon for 亞瑟·恩里克

亞瑟·恩里克

$0 交易量

44%

The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roraima’s 2026 gubernatorial race remains tightly contested because four main candidates—Arthur Henrique (PL), interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), and Rosi Aires (PSOL)—plus smaller contenders are all positioned within a narrow band of trader pricing. Recent party conventions in early August formalized the field, while the June supplementary election, in which Henrique secured a majority that is still under judicial review, has introduced uncertainty over eligibility and potential court rulings that could reshape the ballot. With the first-round vote set for October and no dominant polling lead established, traders see limited separation until further surveys, candidate withdrawals, or definitive legal decisions emerge closer to election day.

The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roraima’s 2026 gubernatorial race remains tightly contested because four main candidates—Arthur Henrique (PL), interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), and Rosi Aires (PSOL)—plus smaller contenders are all positioned within a narrow band of trader pricing. Recent party conventions in early August formalized the field, while the June supplementary election, in which Henrique secured a majority that is still under judicial review, has introduced uncertainty over eligibility and potential court rulings that could reshape the ballot. With the first-round vote set for October and no dominant polling lead established, traders see limited separation until further surveys, candidate withdrawals, or definitive legal decisions emerge closer to election day.

The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Clébio Genuíno" at 46%, followed by "法拉·梅斯基塔" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家" is "Clébio Genuíno" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法拉·梅斯基塔" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.