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政治·巴西

朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家

icon for 朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家

馬可斯·羅熱里奧 57%

Adailton Furia 24%

薩繆爾·科斯塔 18%

Expedito Netto 8%

Polymarket
最新

馬可斯·羅熱里奧 57%

Adailton Furia 24%

薩繆爾·科斯塔 18%

Expedito Netto 8%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 馬可斯·羅熱里奧

馬可斯·羅熱里奧

$140 交易量

59%

icon for Adailton Furia

Adailton Furia

$39 交易量

24%

icon for 薩繆爾·科斯塔

薩繆爾·科斯塔

$56 交易量

19%

icon for Expedito Netto

Expedito Netto

$39 交易量

8%

icon for 佩德羅·阿比布

佩德羅·阿比布

$98 交易量

5%

icon for 希爾登·查維斯

希爾登·查維斯

$89 交易量

41%

The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent party conventions in Rondônia have finalized a fragmented field of six gubernatorial candidates for the October 2026 election, including Senator Marcos Rogério of the Liberal Party, Hildon Chaves of União Brasil, Adailton Fúria and Expedito Netto of the PSD, plus Samuel Costa and Pedro Abib. This open race without an incumbent has produced trader consensus favoring Marcos Rogério at 52.5 percent amid early polling showing him ahead but with divided support across parties. The multi-candidate dynamic, potential coalition negotiations, and limited consolidated data on voter turnout or regional priorities sustain closely matched probabilities for other contenders, with separation likely hinging on upcoming alliance formations or campaign momentum before the general election.

The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$461
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent party conventions in Rondônia have finalized a fragmented field of six gubernatorial candidates for the October 2026 election, including Senator Marcos Rogério of the Liberal Party, Hildon Chaves of União Brasil, Adailton Fúria and Expedito Netto of the PSD, plus Samuel Costa and Pedro Abib. This open race without an incumbent has produced trader consensus favoring Marcos Rogério at 52.5 percent amid early polling showing him ahead but with divided support across parties. The multi-candidate dynamic, potential coalition negotiations, and limited consolidated data on voter turnout or regional priorities sustain closely matched probabilities for other contenders, with separation likely hinging on upcoming alliance formations or campaign momentum before the general election.

The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$461
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬可斯·羅熱里奧" at 59%, followed by "希爾登·查維斯" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家" is "馬可斯·羅熱里奧" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "希爾登·查維斯" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.