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icon for 阿馬帕參議院選舉：第一名
政治·巴西

阿馬帕參議院選舉：第一名

icon for 阿馬帕參議院選舉：第一名
政治·巴西

阿馬帕參議院選舉：第一名

卡皮 44%

赫里奧·席爾瓦 44%

Juíza Jô 44%

烏齊安·平托教授 44%

Polymarket
最新

卡皮 44%

赫里奧·席爾瓦 44%

Juíza Jô 44%

烏齊安·平托教授 44%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 卡皮

卡皮

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 赫里奧·席爾瓦

赫里奧·席爾瓦

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Juíza Jô

Juíza Jô

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 烏齊安·平托教授

烏齊安·平托教授

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 蘭多菲

蘭多菲

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 阿卡西奧·法瓦喬

阿卡西奧·法瓦喬

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Lucas Barreto

Lucas Barreto

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 拉伊薩·福蘭

拉伊薩·福蘭

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Alliny Serrão

Alliny Serrão

$0 交易量

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá's 2026 Senate race for first place, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, as recent polling shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) ahead but Lucas Barreto (PSD), Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), Acácio Favacho (MDB), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), and others clustered closely behind in stimulated scenarios. Candidate formalizations in July and August, combined with local alliances tied to the gubernatorial contest and Governor Clécio Luís's coalition, have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October election. Multiple viable contenders, undecided voters, and overlapping voter bases sustain the tight positioning, while shifts in endorsements, turnout in key municipalities, or late campaign events could consolidate support and separate the leaders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá's 2026 Senate race for first place, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, as recent polling shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) ahead but Lucas Barreto (PSD), Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), Acácio Favacho (MDB), Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), and others clustered closely behind in stimulated scenarios. Candidate formalizations in July and August, combined with local alliances tied to the gubernatorial contest and Governor Clécio Luís's coalition, have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October election. Multiple viable contenders, undecided voters, and overlapping voter bases sustain the tight positioning, while shifts in endorsements, turnout in key municipalities, or late campaign events could consolidate support and separate the leaders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿馬帕參議院選舉：第一名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "卡皮" at 45%, followed by "赫里奧·席爾瓦" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"阿馬帕參議院選舉：第一名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "阿馬帕參議院選舉：第一名," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿馬帕參議院選舉：第一名" is "卡皮" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "赫里奧·席爾瓦" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿馬帕參議院選舉：第一名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.