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icon for 阿馬帕參議院選舉：第二名
政治·主要選舉

阿馬帕參議院選舉：第二名

icon for 阿馬帕參議院選舉：第二名
政治·主要選舉

阿馬帕參議院選舉：第二名

蘭多爾夫 53%

Juíza Jô 14.5%

盧卡斯·巴雷托 13%

Helio Silva 10.9%

Polymarket
最新

蘭多爾夫 53%

Juíza Jô 14.5%

盧卡斯·巴雷托 13%

Helio Silva 10.9%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 蘭多爾夫

蘭多爾夫

$1,637 交易量

53%

icon for Juíza Jô

Juíza Jô

$90 交易量

14%

icon for 盧卡斯·巴雷托

盧卡斯·巴雷托

$187 交易量

21%

icon for Helio Silva

Helio Silva

$90 交易量

11%

icon for Capi

Capi

$152 交易量

8%

icon for 阿卡西奧·法瓦喬

阿卡西奧·法瓦喬

$90 交易量

8%

icon for Alliny Serrão

Alliny Serrão

$221 交易量

7%

icon for 烏齊安·平托教授

烏齊安·平托教授

$361 交易量

7%

icon for Rayssa Furlan

Rayssa Furlan

$90 交易量

3%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows Rayssa Furlan holding a commanding lead in Amapá's Senate race, where voters select two candidates, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD), plus Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and a wider field of registered contenders. Multiple surveys place Barreto and Randolfe in a statistical tie or narrow margin for runner-up status, with support split across more than a dozen names and local alliances tied to the gubernatorial contest. This vote fragmentation and lack of decisive late momentum have sustained tight trader pricing around the leading names, while scheduled campaign launches and any final poll shifts before October could separate the pack.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$2,918
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows Rayssa Furlan holding a commanding lead in Amapá's Senate race, where voters select two candidates, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD), plus Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and a wider field of registered contenders. Multiple surveys place Barreto and Randolfe in a statistical tie or narrow margin for runner-up status, with support split across more than a dozen names and local alliances tied to the gubernatorial contest. This vote fragmentation and lack of decisive late momentum have sustained tight trader pricing around the leading names, while scheduled campaign launches and any final poll shifts before October could separate the pack.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$2,918
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"阿馬帕參議院選舉：第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蘭多爾夫" at 53%, followed by "盧卡斯·巴雷托" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"阿馬帕參議院選舉：第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "阿馬帕參議院選舉：第二名," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿馬帕參議院選舉：第二名" is "蘭多爾夫" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "盧卡斯·巴雷托" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿馬帕參議院選舉：第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.