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icon for 帕拉參議院選舉:第二名

帕拉參議院選舉:第二名

icon for 帕拉參議院選舉:第二名

帕拉參議院選舉:第二名

Delegado Éder Mauro 19%

塞爾索·薩比諾 18%

Edlaine Rodrigues 17%

澤基尼亞·馬里尼奧 16%

Polymarket
最新

Delegado Éder Mauro 19%

塞爾索·薩比諾 18%

Edlaine Rodrigues 17%

澤基尼亞·馬里尼奧 16%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Delegado Éder Mauro

Delegado Éder Mauro

$132 交易量

19%

icon for 塞爾索·薩比諾

塞爾索·薩比諾

$56 交易量

18%

icon for Edlaine Rodrigues

Edlaine Rodrigues

$56 交易量

17%

icon for 澤基尼亞·馬里尼奧

澤基尼亞·馬里尼奧

$92 交易量

19%

icon for Helder

Helder

$101 交易量

12%

icon for 威廉·達席爾瓦

威廉·達席爾瓦

$56 交易量

11%

icon for Breno Guimarães

Breno Guimarães

$56 交易量

11%

icon for Chicão

Chicão

$72 交易量

9%

icon for 費爾南達·洛佩斯

費爾南達·洛佩斯

$82 交易量

8%

icon for 孔蒂

孔蒂

$122 交易量

6%

icon for Gizelle Freitas

Gizelle Freitas

$132 交易量

5%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Genial/Quaest and Real Time shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) consistently leading the Pará Senate race for one of the two seats, while the battle for second remains fluid among Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and others. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, with multiple candidates holding similar implied probabilities amid varied survey scenarios that place Mauro or Marinho just behind the leader. Key factors include regional voting blocs in the Amazon state, party alliances ahead of the October 4 election, and limited differentiation in name recognition or policy contrasts. Upcoming debates, additional statewide surveys, and final candidate registrations could shift positioning by clarifying support among undecided voters or bolstering challengers through endorsements.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$957
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Genial/Quaest and Real Time shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) consistently leading the Pará Senate race for one of the two seats, while the battle for second remains fluid among Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and others. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, with multiple candidates holding similar implied probabilities amid varied survey scenarios that place Mauro or Marinho just behind the leader. Key factors include regional voting blocs in the Amazon state, party alliances ahead of the October 4 election, and limited differentiation in name recognition or policy contrasts. Upcoming debates, additional statewide surveys, and final candidate registrations could shift positioning by clarifying support among undecided voters or bolstering challengers through endorsements.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$957
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"帕拉參議院選舉:第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Delegado Éder Mauro" at 20%, followed by "澤基尼亞·馬里尼奧" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"帕拉參議院選舉:第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "帕拉參議院選舉:第二名," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "帕拉參議院選舉:第二名" is "Delegado Éder Mauro" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "澤基尼亞·馬里尼奧" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "帕拉參議院選舉:第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.