Recent polling from Genial/Quaest and Real Time shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) consistently leading the Pará Senate race for one of the two seats, while the battle for second remains fluid among Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and others. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, with multiple candidates holding similar implied probabilities amid varied survey scenarios that place Mauro or Marinho just behind the leader. Key factors include regional voting blocs in the Amazon state, party alliances ahead of the October 4 election, and limited differentiation in name recognition or policy contrasts. Upcoming debates, additional statewide surveys, and final candidate registrations could shift positioning by clarifying support among undecided voters or bolstering challengers through endorsements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Delegado Éder Mauro 19%
塞爾索·薩比諾 18%
Edlaine Rodrigues 17%
澤基尼亞·馬里尼奧 16%

Delegado Éder Mauro
19%

塞爾索·薩比諾
18%

Edlaine Rodrigues
17%

澤基尼亞·馬里尼奧
19%

Helder
12%

威廉·達席爾瓦
11%

Breno Guimarães
11%

Chicão
9%

費爾南達·洛佩斯
8%

孔蒂
6%

Gizelle Freitas
5%
Delegado Éder Mauro 19%
塞爾索·薩比諾 18%
Edlaine Rodrigues 17%
澤基尼亞·馬里尼奧 16%

Delegado Éder Mauro
19%

塞爾索·薩比諾
18%

Edlaine Rodrigues
17%

澤基尼亞·馬里尼奧
19%

Helder
12%

威廉·達席爾瓦
11%

Breno Guimarães
11%

Chicão
9%

費爾南達·洛佩斯
8%

孔蒂
6%

Gizelle Freitas
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Genial/Quaest and Real Time shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) consistently leading the Pará Senate race for one of the two seats, while the battle for second remains fluid among Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and others. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, with multiple candidates holding similar implied probabilities amid varied survey scenarios that place Mauro or Marinho just behind the leader. Key factors include regional voting blocs in the Amazon state, party alliances ahead of the October 4 election, and limited differentiation in name recognition or policy contrasts. Upcoming debates, additional statewide surveys, and final candidate registrations could shift positioning by clarifying support among undecided voters or bolstering challengers through endorsements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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