Marcel Van Hattem (NOVO) leads the Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for first place according to trader consensus, reflecting consistent polling advantages in recent surveys. Multiple June-to-August 2026 polls, including RealTime Big Data and Quaest, placed him at or near the top with roughly 20% consolidated first-and-second preferences, ahead of or statistically tied with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL) and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL). His profile as the state's highest-voted federal deputy in prior cycles, combined with the "O Rio Grande Pode Mais" coalition backing, supports the positioning. The October 4 first-round vote—with two seats elected by plurality—approaches amid 13 registered candidacies and high undecided shares in some surveys, leaving room for shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Marcel Van Hattem 74%
Manuela D'Ávila 21%
Sanderson 4.0%
Rigotto 4.0%
$30,868 交易量
$30,868 交易量
2026-10-04
Marcel Van Hattem
74%
Manuela D'Ávila
21%
Sanderson
4%
Rigotto
4%
Regis Ethur
3%
Pimenta
1%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
1%
Tania Peres
<1%
Luciano do MLB
<1%
Ric Jones
<1%
Renato Jaguarão
<1%
Frederico Antunes
<1%
Milton Cardoso
<1%
Marcel Van Hattem 74%
Manuela D'Ávila 21%
Sanderson 4.0%
Rigotto 4.0%
$30,868 交易量
$30,868 交易量
2026-10-04
Marcel Van Hattem
$11,665 交易量
74%
Manuela D'Ávila
$12,044 交易量
21%
Sanderson
$1,028 交易量
4%
Rigotto
$539 交易量
4%
Regis Ethur
$520 交易量
3%
Pimenta
$1,369 交易量
1%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
$520 交易量
1%
Tania Peres
$579 交易量
<1%
Luciano do MLB
$468 交易量
<1%
Ric Jones
$468 交易量
<1%
Renato Jaguarão
$438 交易量
<1%
Frederico Antunes
$738 交易量
<1%
Milton Cardoso
$492 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcel Van Hattem (NOVO) leads the Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for first place according to trader consensus, reflecting consistent polling advantages in recent surveys. Multiple June-to-August 2026 polls, including RealTime Big Data and Quaest, placed him at or near the top with roughly 20% consolidated first-and-second preferences, ahead of or statistically tied with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL) and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL). His profile as the state's highest-voted federal deputy in prior cycles, combined with the "O Rio Grande Pode Mais" coalition backing, supports the positioning. The October 4 first-round vote—with two seats elected by plurality—approaches amid 13 registered candidacies and high undecided shares in some surveys, leaving room for shifts before resolution.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
交易量
$30,868結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcel Van Hattem (NOVO) leads the Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for first place according to trader consensus, reflecting consistent polling advantages in recent surveys. Multiple June-to-August 2026 polls, including RealTime Big Data and Quaest, placed him at or near the top with roughly 20% consolidated first-and-second preferences, ahead of or statistically tied with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL) and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL). His profile as the state's highest-voted federal deputy in prior cycles, combined with the "O Rio Grande Pode Mais" coalition backing, supports the positioning. The October 4 first-round vote—with two seats elected by plurality—approaches amid 13 registered candidacies and high undecided shares in some surveys, leaving room for shifts before resolution.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$30,868結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETMarcel Van Hattem (NOVO) leads the Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for first place according to trader consensus, reflecting consistent polling advantages in recent surveys. Multiple June-to-August 2026 polls, including RealTime Big Data and Quaest, placed him at or near the top with roughly 20% consolidated first-and-second preferences, ahead of or statistically tied with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL) and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL). His profile as the state's highest-voted federal deputy in prior cycles, combined with the "O Rio Grande Pode Mais" coalition backing, supports the positioning. The October 4 first-round vote—with two seats elected by plurality—approaches amid 13 registered candidacies and high undecided shares in some surveys, leaving room for shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions