Lula maintains a commanding position in the first-round race as the incumbent Workers’ Party candidate seeking a fourth term, with recent polling averages placing him in the high 30s to low 40s percent amid a fragmented field. Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party trails as the primary challenger in the low-to-mid 30s, though his support has faced pressure from ongoing legal and alliance issues. Augusto Cury has gained ground to reach single digits following increased media exposure and the start of free electoral broadcasts, while candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema remain in the low single digits. The crowded right-leaning field continues to split opposition votes, limiting any single alternative from closing the gap in first-round surveys conducted after the campaign’s official launch and initial debates. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural dynamics and polling trends ahead of the October 4 vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於魯拉 87%
弗拉維奧·博索納羅 13%
作家奧古斯托·庫里 <1%
羅納爾多·凱亞多 <1%
$15,191 交易量
$15,191 交易量
2026-10-04
魯拉
87%
弗拉維奧·博索納羅
13%
作家奧古斯托·庫里
1%
羅納爾多·凱亞多
1%
雷南·桑托斯
1%
魯伊·科斯塔·皮門塔
<1%
克拉麗安娜·巴拉奧
<1%
赫茲·迪亞斯
<1%
Samara
<1%
獸醫威爾遜·格拉西
<1%
埃德米爾森·科斯塔
<1%
澤馬
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
魯拉 87%
弗拉維奧·博索納羅 13%
作家奧古斯托·庫里 <1%
羅納爾多·凱亞多 <1%
$15,191 交易量
$15,191 交易量
2026-10-04
魯拉
$6,869 交易量
87%
弗拉維奧·博索納羅
$2,779 交易量
13%
作家奧古斯托·庫里
$1,095 交易量
1%
羅納爾多·凱亞多
$820 交易量
1%
雷南·桑托斯
$785 交易量
1%
魯伊·科斯塔·皮門塔
$477 交易量
<1%
克拉麗安娜·巴拉奧
$288 交易量
<1%
赫茲·迪亞斯
$296 交易量
<1%
Samara
$296 交易量
<1%
獸醫威爾遜·格拉西
$316 交易量
<1%
埃德米爾森·科斯塔
$259 交易量
<1%
澤馬
$546 交易量
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$366 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in the first-round race as the incumbent Workers’ Party candidate seeking a fourth term, with recent polling averages placing him in the high 30s to low 40s percent amid a fragmented field. Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party trails as the primary challenger in the low-to-mid 30s, though his support has faced pressure from ongoing legal and alliance issues. Augusto Cury has gained ground to reach single digits following increased media exposure and the start of free electoral broadcasts, while candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema remain in the low single digits. The crowded right-leaning field continues to split opposition votes, limiting any single alternative from closing the gap in first-round surveys conducted after the campaign’s official launch and initial debates. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural dynamics and polling trends ahead of the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
交易量
$15,191結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in the first-round race as the incumbent Workers’ Party candidate seeking a fourth term, with recent polling averages placing him in the high 30s to low 40s percent amid a fragmented field. Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party trails as the primary challenger in the low-to-mid 30s, though his support has faced pressure from ongoing legal and alliance issues. Augusto Cury has gained ground to reach single digits following increased media exposure and the start of free electoral broadcasts, while candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema remain in the low single digits. The crowded right-leaning field continues to split opposition votes, limiting any single alternative from closing the gap in first-round surveys conducted after the campaign’s official launch and initial debates. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural dynamics and polling trends ahead of the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$15,191結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ETLula maintains a commanding position in the first-round race as the incumbent Workers’ Party candidate seeking a fourth term, with recent polling averages placing him in the high 30s to low 40s percent amid a fragmented field. Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party trails as the primary challenger in the low-to-mid 30s, though his support has faced pressure from ongoing legal and alliance issues. Augusto Cury has gained ground to reach single digits following increased media exposure and the start of free electoral broadcasts, while candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema remain in the low single digits. The crowded right-leaning field continues to split opposition votes, limiting any single alternative from closing the gap in first-round surveys conducted after the campaign’s official launch and initial debates. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural dynamics and polling trends ahead of the October 4 vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions