Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第一名
政治·巴西

南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第一名

icon for 南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第一名
政治·巴西

南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第一名

雷納爾多·阿贊布賈 85%

卡皮唐·孔塔 13%

盧伊茲·萊梅斯 1.1%

貝托·多·莫維門托 <1%

Polymarket

$18,402 交易量

雷納爾多·阿贊布賈 85%

卡皮唐·孔塔 13%

盧伊茲·萊梅斯 1.1%

貝托·多·莫維門托 <1%

Polymarket

$18,402 交易量

icon for 雷納爾多·阿贊布賈

雷納爾多·阿贊布賈

$11,259 交易量

85%

icon for 卡皮唐·孔塔

卡皮唐·孔塔

$2,517 交易量

13%

icon for 盧伊茲·萊梅斯

盧伊茲·萊梅斯

$591 交易量

1%

icon for 貝托·多·莫維門托

貝托·多·莫維門托

$581 交易量

1%

icon for 瓦爾特·達·科馬格蘭

瓦爾特·達·科馬格蘭

$643 交易量

1%

icon for 瓦爾德里·加西亞

瓦爾德里·加西亞

$584 交易量

1%

icon for 羅貝托·大城

羅貝托·大城

$639 交易量

<1%

icon for 索拉婭

索拉婭

$571 交易量

<1%

icon for 丹尼爾·朱尼爾

丹尼爾·朱尼爾

$468 交易量

<1%

icon for 范德·盧貝特

范德·盧貝特

$550 交易量

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) holds an 85% implied probability of finishing first in the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in multiple 2026 polls conducted through September. His advantage stems from strong regional support across interior and capital areas, combined with the PL alliance that pairs him with Capitão Contar for the two available seats. Nelsinho Trad withdrew his candidacy to serve as Azambuja’s alternate, consolidating center-right backing ahead of the October 4 vote. Other registered candidates, including Soraya Thronicke (PSB), Vander Loubet (PT), and lower-polling names such as Valter da Comagran and Luiz Lemes, trail significantly in surveys and face structural barriers to overtaking the leader. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as durable with limited time remaining before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$18,402
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) holds an 85% implied probability of finishing first in the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in multiple 2026 polls conducted through September. His advantage stems from strong regional support across interior and capital areas, combined with the PL alliance that pairs him with Capitão Contar for the two available seats. Nelsinho Trad withdrew his candidacy to serve as Azambuja’s alternate, consolidating center-right backing ahead of the October 4 vote. Other registered candidates, including Soraya Thronicke (PSB), Vander Loubet (PT), and lower-polling names such as Valter da Comagran and Luiz Lemes, trail significantly in surveys and face structural barriers to overtaking the leader. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as durable with limited time remaining before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$18,402
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

相關

icon for 卡皮唐·孔塔爾會在2026年南馬托格羅索州參議院選舉中獲得第二高票數嗎？

卡皮唐·孔塔爾會在2026年南馬托格羅索州參議院選舉中獲得第二高票數嗎？

56%
是
icon for 毛羅·門德斯會在2026年馬托格羅索參議院選舉中獲得最多選票嗎？

毛羅·門德斯會在2026年馬托格羅索參議院選舉中獲得最多選票嗎？

71%
是
icon for 雅娜伊娜·里瓦會在2026年馬托格羅索參議院選舉中獲得第二高票嗎？

雅娜伊娜·里瓦會在2026年馬托格羅索參議院選舉中獲得第二高票嗎？

64%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第一名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "雷納爾多·阿贊布賈" at 85%, followed by "卡皮唐·孔塔" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第一名" has generated $18.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第一名," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第一名" is "雷納爾多·阿贊布賈" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "卡皮唐·孔塔" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第一名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.