Recent polling in Mato Grosso's 2026 Senate race shows ex-governor Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) holding a clear lead for one seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among a field of roughly ten registered candidates. Early August surveys from Real Time Big Data and MT Dados place Janaína Riva (MDB) narrowly ahead or tied with José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques (PSB) in the low-to-mid teens to mid-20s, with others such as Coronel Darwin, Antônio Galvan, and Margareth Buzetti within striking distance. High undecided rates and overlapping support among agribusiness-aligned voters from center-right and center-left parties have kept second-place probabilities tightly bunched, as reflected in current trader pricing. The October 4 election date and any late shifts in state-level alliances or turnout patterns in key agricultural regions remain the main variables that could separate the contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於瑪格麗絲·布澤蒂 23%
佩德羅·塔克斯 23%
達爾文上校 23%
法瓦羅 23%

瑪格麗絲·布澤蒂
23%

佩德羅·塔克斯
23%

達爾文上校
23%

法瓦羅
23%

加爾萬
23%

費雷拉教授
23%

毛羅·門德斯
23%

Beny Godoy
21%

雅娜伊娜·里瓦
21%

Jose Medeiros
21%
瑪格麗絲·布澤蒂 23%
佩德羅·塔克斯 23%
達爾文上校 23%
法瓦羅 23%

瑪格麗絲·布澤蒂
23%

佩德羅·塔克斯
23%

達爾文上校
23%

法瓦羅
23%

加爾萬
23%

費雷拉教授
23%

毛羅·門德斯
23%

Beny Godoy
21%

雅娜伊娜·里瓦
21%

Jose Medeiros
21%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Mato Grosso's 2026 Senate race shows ex-governor Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) holding a clear lead for one seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among a field of roughly ten registered candidates. Early August surveys from Real Time Big Data and MT Dados place Janaína Riva (MDB) narrowly ahead or tied with José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques (PSB) in the low-to-mid teens to mid-20s, with others such as Coronel Darwin, Antônio Galvan, and Margareth Buzetti within striking distance. High undecided rates and overlapping support among agribusiness-aligned voters from center-right and center-left parties have kept second-place probabilities tightly bunched, as reflected in current trader pricing. The October 4 election date and any late shifts in state-level alliances or turnout patterns in key agricultural regions remain the main variables that could separate the contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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