Recent polling from mid-August 2026 shows Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) leading Senate intentions in Mato Grosso do Sul, with Capitão Contar (PL) consistently placing second or competitive for the remaining seat among a field that includes Nelsinho Trad (PSD), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya Thronicke (PSB). July party decisions by the PL formalized Contar alongside Azambuja after internal polling favored the pairing over other aspirants, consolidating right-leaning support and clarifying the likely top-two structure. Traders appear to price Contar as the consensus second-place outcome based on these trends and name recognition from his 2022 gubernatorial run, while lower probabilities for remaining candidates reflect fragmented opposition and limited recent shifts in statewide surveys. Upcoming candidate registrations and further polling could adjust positioning before October voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於卡皮唐·孔塔爾 67%
范德·盧貝特 14%
Valderi Garcia 8.7%
Luiz Lemes 6%

卡皮唐·孔塔爾
67%

范德·盧貝特
14%

Valderi Garcia
9%

Luiz Lemes
6%

瓦爾特·達·科馬格蘭
5%

索拉婭
5%

羅伯托·大城
3%

Beto do Movimento
1%

雷納爾多·阿桑布賈
1%

丹尼爾·朱尼奧
<1%
卡皮唐·孔塔爾 67%
范德·盧貝特 14%
Valderi Garcia 8.7%
Luiz Lemes 6%

卡皮唐·孔塔爾
67%

范德·盧貝特
14%

Valderi Garcia
9%

Luiz Lemes
6%

瓦爾特·達·科馬格蘭
5%

索拉婭
5%

羅伯托·大城
3%

Beto do Movimento
1%

雷納爾多·阿桑布賈
1%

丹尼爾·朱尼奧
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from mid-August 2026 shows Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) leading Senate intentions in Mato Grosso do Sul, with Capitão Contar (PL) consistently placing second or competitive for the remaining seat among a field that includes Nelsinho Trad (PSD), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya Thronicke (PSB). July party decisions by the PL formalized Contar alongside Azambuja after internal polling favored the pairing over other aspirants, consolidating right-leaning support and clarifying the likely top-two structure. Traders appear to price Contar as the consensus second-place outcome based on these trends and name recognition from his 2022 gubernatorial run, while lower probabilities for remaining candidates reflect fragmented opposition and limited recent shifts in statewide surveys. Upcoming candidate registrations and further polling could adjust positioning before October voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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