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icon for 塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名

塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名

icon for 塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名

塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名

Paulinho da União Tur 39%

伊朗·巴博薩 38%

德雷加多·亞歷山大 21%

Delegado André David 21%

Polymarket
最新

Paulinho da União Tur 39%

伊朗·巴博薩 38%

德雷加多·亞歷山大 21%

Delegado André David 21%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Paulinho da União Tur

Paulinho da União Tur

$42 交易量

39%

icon for 伊朗·巴博薩

伊朗·巴博薩

$42 交易量

38%

icon for 德雷加多·亞歷山大

德雷加多·亞歷山大

$42 交易量

21%

icon for Delegado André David

Delegado André David

$27 交易量

21%

icon for Coronel Rocha

Coronel Rocha

$58 交易量

21%

icon for Rogerio Carvalho

Rogerio Carvalho

$58 交易量

15%

icon for 愛德華多·阿莫林

愛德華多·阿莫林

$60 交易量

13%

icon for 羅德里戈·瓦拉達雷斯

羅德里戈·瓦拉達雷斯

$42 交易量

11%

icon for 艾德瓦爾多

艾德瓦爾多

$42 交易量

10%

icon for 雷納蒂尼亞

雷納蒂尼亞

$42 交易量

10%

icon for 安德烈·莫拉

安德烈·莫拉

$42 交易量

10%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for the Sergipe Senate contest show a fragmented field with multiple pre-candidates clustered in the low-to-mid teens, including Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, Rodrigo Valadares, and others, producing no dominant second-place contender. Party conventions in late July and early August formalized eleven candidacies, reinforcing the competitive landscape ahead of the October vote. Trader prices reflect this uncertainty, with several names holding similar implied probabilities for second place as surveys continue to register shifts among right-leaning, center, and left-leaning options. Further polling or late campaign events could separate the pack by clarifying which contender consolidates opposition support or benefits from alliances.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$499
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for the Sergipe Senate contest show a fragmented field with multiple pre-candidates clustered in the low-to-mid teens, including Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, Rodrigo Valadares, and others, producing no dominant second-place contender. Party conventions in late July and early August formalized eleven candidacies, reinforcing the competitive landscape ahead of the October vote. Trader prices reflect this uncertainty, with several names holding similar implied probabilities for second place as surveys continue to register shifts among right-leaning, center, and left-leaning options. Further polling or late campaign events could separate the pack by clarifying which contender consolidates opposition support or benefits from alliances.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$499
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paulinho da União Tur" at 39%, followed by "伊朗·巴博薩" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名" is "Paulinho da União Tur" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "伊朗·巴博薩" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.