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icon for 馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家

icon for 馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家

薩金托·勞迪塞里奧 27%

毛里西奧·科埃略 22%

奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔 21%

娜塔莎醫生 9%

Polymarket
最新

薩金托·勞迪塞里奧 27%

毛里西奧·科埃略 22%

奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔 21%

娜塔莎醫生 9%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 薩金托·勞迪塞里奧

薩金托·勞迪塞里奧

$0 交易量

27%

icon for 毛里西奧·科埃略

毛里西奧·科埃略

$46 交易量

22%

icon for 奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔

奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔

$21 交易量

21%

icon for 娜塔莎醫生

娜塔莎醫生

$23 交易量

9%

icon for Rafaell Milas

Rafaell Milas

$0 交易量

9%

icon for 威靈頓·法古恩德斯

威靈頓·法古恩德斯

$41 交易量

45%

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds the highest listed probability at 46.5% in trader pricing, ahead of Sargento Laudicério (Agir) at 27%, Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 22%, and lower shares for Mauricio Coelho, Doutora Natasha (PSD), and Rafaell Milas, with numerous other outcomes clustered near 50%. This tight distribution reflects the early August 2026 phase of the October 4 election cycle, where recent Real Time Big Data polling shows Fagundes leading at 34% but with 23% undecided and a fragmented field of party-nominated contenders. High undecided shares, absence of major debates or endorsements, and ongoing coalition talks keep probabilities balanced; further polling shifts, primary resolutions, or late-campaign events could widen gaps ahead of first-round voting.

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$131
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds the highest listed probability at 46.5% in trader pricing, ahead of Sargento Laudicério (Agir) at 27%, Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 22%, and lower shares for Mauricio Coelho, Doutora Natasha (PSD), and Rafaell Milas, with numerous other outcomes clustered near 50%. This tight distribution reflects the early August 2026 phase of the October 4 election cycle, where recent Real Time Big Data polling shows Fagundes leading at 34% but with 23% undecided and a fragmented field of party-nominated contenders. High undecided shares, absence of major debates or endorsements, and ongoing coalition talks keep probabilities balanced; further polling shifts, primary resolutions, or late-campaign events could widen gaps ahead of first-round voting.

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$131
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "威靈頓·法古恩德斯" at 45%, followed by "薩金托·勞迪塞里奧" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家" is "威靈頓·法古恩德斯" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "薩金托·勞迪塞里奧" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.