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icon for 南馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

南馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家

icon for 南馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

南馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家

愛德華多·瑞德爾 71%

法比奧·特拉德 23%

經濟學家雷納托·戈梅斯 15.1%

傑斐遜·貝澤拉 13%

Polymarket
最新

愛德華多·瑞德爾 71%

法比奧·特拉德 23%

經濟學家雷納托·戈梅斯 15.1%

傑斐遜·貝澤拉 13%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 愛德華多·瑞德爾

愛德華多·瑞德爾

$181 交易量

70%

icon for 法比奧·特拉德

法比奧·特拉德

$93 交易量

23%

icon for 經濟學家雷納托·戈梅斯

經濟學家雷納托·戈梅斯

$119 交易量

15%

icon for 傑斐遜·貝澤拉

傑斐遜·貝澤拉

$72 交易量

13%

icon for 若昂·恩里克·卡坦

若昂·恩里克·卡坦

$72 交易量

19%

icon for 德爾西迪奧·阿馬拉爾

德爾西迪奧·阿馬拉爾

$72 交易量

21%

icon for 盧西恩·雷澤恩

盧西恩·雷澤恩

$92 交易量

15%

icon for 丹尼爾·萊梅斯

丹尼爾·萊梅斯

$72 交易量

12%

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel (PP), the incumbent governor of Mato Grosso do Sul seeking re-election in the October 4, 2026, contest, holds the strongest position among candidates due to consistent polling leads of 44-54% in first- and second-round scenarios from surveys conducted in late July and early August 2026. Recent data from Real Time Big Data and other firms show him ahead of challengers including Fábio Trad (PT) and others such as Delcídio do Amaral, João Henrique Catan, Lucien Rezende, and Renato Gomes, reflecting advantages from name recognition, state resources, and party coalition support after his 2025 switch to PP. Traders price these dynamics into the elevated odds for Riedel as the frontrunner, with lower probabilities assigned to rivals amid the absence of major shifts or disqualifying events in the current cycle.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$773
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel (PP), the incumbent governor of Mato Grosso do Sul seeking re-election in the October 4, 2026, contest, holds the strongest position among candidates due to consistent polling leads of 44-54% in first- and second-round scenarios from surveys conducted in late July and early August 2026. Recent data from Real Time Big Data and other firms show him ahead of challengers including Fábio Trad (PT) and others such as Delcídio do Amaral, João Henrique Catan, Lucien Rezende, and Renato Gomes, reflecting advantages from name recognition, state resources, and party coalition support after his 2025 switch to PP. Traders price these dynamics into the elevated odds for Riedel as the frontrunner, with lower probabilities assigned to rivals amid the absence of major shifts or disqualifying events in the current cycle.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$773
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"南馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "愛德華多·瑞德爾" at 70%, followed by "法比奧·特拉德" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"南馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "南馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "南馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家" is "愛德華多·瑞德爾" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法比奧·特拉德" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "南馬託格羅索州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.