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icon for 聖埃斯皮裏圖參議院選舉：第二名
政治·巴西

聖埃斯皮裏圖參議院選舉：第二名

icon for 聖埃斯皮裏圖參議院選舉：第二名
政治·巴西

聖埃斯皮裏圖參議院選舉：第二名

雷納托·卡薩格蘭德 44%

塞爾吉奧·梅內古埃利 44%

Evair de Melo 44%

羅斯·德·費雷塔斯 43%

Polymarket
最新

雷納托·卡薩格蘭德 44%

塞爾吉奧·梅內古埃利 44%

Evair de Melo 44%

羅斯·德·費雷塔斯 43%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 雷納托·卡薩格蘭德

雷納托·卡薩格蘭德

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 塞爾吉奧·梅內古埃利

塞爾吉奧·梅內古埃利

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Evair de Melo

Evair de Melo

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 羅斯·德·費雷塔斯

羅斯·德·費雷塔斯

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 馬可斯·杜·瓦爾

馬可斯·杜·瓦爾

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 法比安教授

法比安教授

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 羅德尼·米蘭達

羅德尼·米蘭達

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 卡萊加里

卡萊加里

$0 交易量

42%

icon for Fabiano Contarato

Fabiano Contarato

$0 交易量

42%

icon for Leonardo Monjardim

Leonardo Monjardim

$0 交易量

42%

icon for Maguinha Malta

Maguinha Malta

$0 交易量

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading Senate intentions in Espírito Santo with 24-35%, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and others. High undecided shares near 70% in spontaneous responses, combined with 11 registered candidates and shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, sustain tight implied probabilities around 40-50% for the leading second-place options. Late-campaign factors such as party ticket consolidations, targeted regional outreach in key municipalities, turnout differentials, and any high-profile endorsements or debates could consolidate support behind one contender and separate the market.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading Senate intentions in Espírito Santo with 24-35%, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and others. High undecided shares near 70% in spontaneous responses, combined with 11 registered candidates and shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, sustain tight implied probabilities around 40-50% for the leading second-place options. Late-campaign factors such as party ticket consolidations, targeted regional outreach in key municipalities, turnout differentials, and any high-profile endorsements or debates could consolidate support behind one contender and separate the market.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"聖埃斯皮裏圖參議院選舉：第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "雷納托·卡薩格蘭德" at 44%, followed by "塞爾吉奧·梅內古埃利" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"聖埃斯皮裏圖參議院選舉：第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "聖埃斯皮裏圖參議院選舉：第二名," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "聖埃斯皮裏圖參議院選舉：第二名" is "雷納托·卡薩格蘭德" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "塞爾吉奧·梅內古埃利" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "聖埃斯皮裏圖參議院選舉：第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.