The crowded field of more than 15 candidates for the October 4, 2026, Trujillo provincial mayoral election keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered, with no entrant exceeding roughly 35% in the most recent August polling. Incumbent Mario Reyna Rodríguez of Alianza para el Progreso holds the narrowest lead in voter intention surveys, followed closely by Roy Arbaiza Corcuera, Luis Zavala Espino, and several others in single digits. Fragmentation across parties including Somos Perú, APP, and newer groupings limits any frontrunner’s consolidation of support ahead of the vote. Trader positioning reflects the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or withdrawals that could consolidate preferences before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於維克多·羅伯特·德拉克魯斯·羅薩斯 23%
威爾馬·阿爾弗雷多·莫雷諾·富恩特斯 15%
班傑明·卡爾赫特·雷耶斯·雷巴薩 14%
Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
維克多·羅伯特·德拉克魯斯·羅薩斯
23%
威爾馬·阿爾弗雷多·莫雷諾·富恩特斯
15%
班傑明·卡爾赫特·雷耶斯·雷巴薩
14%
Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera
11%
Luis Ángel Zavala Espino
8%
阿爾弗雷多·曼努埃爾·加林多·佩拉爾塔
9%
José Rodar Miranda Prado
9%
米爾頓·馬塞利諾·拉米雷斯·埃雷拉
7%
維克多·胡里奧·萊昂·阿爾瓦雷斯
22%
赫蘇斯·阿爾韋托·貝拉斯克斯·雷納
6%
Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael
6%
卡洛斯·恩里克·阿爾瓦·羅哈斯
6%
拉烏爾·埃德加多·阿爾達納·迪奧塞斯
5%
José María Alberto Arcila Corales
5%
Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera
29%
馬里奧·科爾伯斯·雷納·羅德里格斯
36%
維克多·羅伯特·德拉克魯斯·羅薩斯 23%
威爾馬·阿爾弗雷多·莫雷諾·富恩特斯 15%
班傑明·卡爾赫特·雷耶斯·雷巴薩 14%
Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
維克多·羅伯特·德拉克魯斯·羅薩斯
$101 交易量
23%
威爾馬·阿爾弗雷多·莫雷諾·富恩特斯
$79 交易量
15%
班傑明·卡爾赫特·雷耶斯·雷巴薩
$79 交易量
14%
Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera
$96 交易量
11%
Luis Ángel Zavala Espino
$90 交易量
8%
阿爾弗雷多·曼努埃爾·加林多·佩拉爾塔
$79 交易量
9%
José Rodar Miranda Prado
$79 交易量
9%
米爾頓·馬塞利諾·拉米雷斯·埃雷拉
$140 交易量
7%
維克多·胡里奧·萊昂·阿爾瓦雷斯
$82 交易量
22%
赫蘇斯·阿爾韋托·貝拉斯克斯·雷納
$79 交易量
6%
Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael
$99 交易量
6%
卡洛斯·恩里克·阿爾瓦·羅哈斯
$450 交易量
6%
拉烏爾·埃德加多·阿爾達納·迪奧塞斯
$79 交易量
5%
José María Alberto Arcila Corales
$114 交易量
5%
Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera
$137 交易量
29%
馬里奧·科爾伯斯·雷納·羅德里格斯
$108 交易量
36%
The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The crowded field of more than 15 candidates for the October 4, 2026, Trujillo provincial mayoral election keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered, with no entrant exceeding roughly 35% in the most recent August polling. Incumbent Mario Reyna Rodríguez of Alianza para el Progreso holds the narrowest lead in voter intention surveys, followed closely by Roy Arbaiza Corcuera, Luis Zavala Espino, and several others in single digits. Fragmentation across parties including Somos Perú, APP, and newer groupings limits any frontrunner’s consolidation of support ahead of the vote. Trader positioning reflects the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or withdrawals that could consolidate preferences before election day.
The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
交易量
$1,891結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The crowded field of more than 15 candidates for the October 4, 2026, Trujillo provincial mayoral election keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered, with no entrant exceeding roughly 35% in the most recent August polling. Incumbent Mario Reyna Rodríguez of Alianza para el Progreso holds the narrowest lead in voter intention surveys, followed closely by Roy Arbaiza Corcuera, Luis Zavala Espino, and several others in single digits. Fragmentation across parties including Somos Perú, APP, and newer groupings limits any frontrunner’s consolidation of support ahead of the vote. Trader positioning reflects the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or withdrawals that could consolidate preferences before election day.
The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
交易量
$1,891結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of more than 15 candidates for the October 4, 2026, Trujillo provincial mayoral election keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered, with no entrant exceeding roughly 35% in the most recent August polling. Incumbent Mario Reyna Rodríguez of Alianza para el Progreso holds the narrowest lead in voter intention surveys, followed closely by Roy Arbaiza Corcuera, Luis Zavala Espino, and several others in single digits. Fragmentation across parties including Somos Perú, APP, and newer groupings limits any frontrunner’s consolidation of support ahead of the vote. Trader positioning reflects the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or withdrawals that could consolidate preferences before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions