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政治·奈及利亞總督選舉

奈及利亞奧貢州州長選舉獲勝者

icon for 奈及利亞奧貢州州長選舉獲勝者
政治·奈及利亞總督選舉

奈及利亞奧貢州州長選舉獲勝者

奧拉迪普波·阿德布圖 43%

所羅門·歐拉米雷坎·阿德奧拉 43%

比奧敦·奧貢迪佩 43%

博拉吉·奧杜西納 43%

Polymarket
最新

奧拉迪普波·阿德布圖 43%

所羅門·歐拉米雷坎·阿德奧拉 43%

比奧敦·奧貢迪佩 43%

博拉吉·奧杜西納 43%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 奧拉迪普波·阿德布圖

奧拉迪普波·阿德布圖

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 所羅門·歐拉米雷坎·阿德奧拉

所羅門·歐拉米雷坎·阿德奧拉

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 比奧敦·奧貢迪佩

比奧敦·奧貢迪佩

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 博拉吉·奧杜西納

博拉吉·奧杜西納

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 阿德庫尼勒·阿德努加

阿德庫尼勒·阿德努加

$0 交易量

43%

icon for Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi

Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi

$0 交易量

43%

icon for Rotimi Babajide

Rotimi Babajide

$0 交易量

24%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.The 2027 Ogun State governorship race, scheduled for February 6, features a fragmented field across APC, PDP, ADC, and smaller parties, with trader odds reflecting sustained uncertainty among multiple contenders. APC selected Senator Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi) as consensus candidate from Ogun West in April 2026, citing regional equity after decades without a governor from that bloc; the party has since unveiled a running mate and secured endorsements from traditional councils and national leaders. PDP settled on Oladipupo Adebutu, while ADC confirmed Biodun Ogundipe amid internal disputes. Running-mate selections and bloc-balancing among Egba, Ijebu, Remo, and Yewa/Awori areas remain focal points. With primaries largely resolved but the general election months away and opposition votes potentially split, no single candidate has pulled decisively ahead in the implied probabilities.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2027-02-06
市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.The 2027 Ogun State governorship race, scheduled for February 6, features a fragmented field across APC, PDP, ADC, and smaller parties, with trader odds reflecting sustained uncertainty among multiple contenders. APC selected Senator Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi) as consensus candidate from Ogun West in April 2026, citing regional equity after decades without a governor from that bloc; the party has since unveiled a running mate and secured endorsements from traditional councils and national leaders. PDP settled on Oladipupo Adebutu, while ADC confirmed Biodun Ogundipe amid internal disputes. Running-mate selections and bloc-balancing among Egba, Ijebu, Remo, and Yewa/Awori areas remain focal points. With primaries largely resolved but the general election months away and opposition votes potentially split, no single candidate has pulled decisively ahead in the implied probabilities.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2027-02-06
市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

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icon for 烏巴·薩尼會贏得2027年卡杜納州州長選舉嗎？

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Will Obafemi Hamzat win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"奈及利亞奧貢州州長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "奧拉迪普波·阿德布圖" at 44%, followed by "所羅門·歐拉米雷坎·阿德奧拉" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"奈及利亞奧貢州州長選舉獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "奈及利亞奧貢州州長選舉獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "奈及利亞奧貢州州長選舉獲勝者" is "奧拉迪普波·阿德布圖" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "所羅門·歐拉米雷坎·阿德奧拉" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "奈及利亞奧貢州州長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.