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icon for 奈及利亞卡諾州州長選舉獲勝者

奈及利亞卡諾州州長選舉獲勝者

icon for 奈及利亞卡諾州州長選舉獲勝者

奈及利亞卡諾州州長選舉獲勝者

阿巴·卡比爾·尤素福 44%

穆罕默德·貝洛·達爾哈圖 34%

Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo 21%

穆罕默德·拉吉 21%

Polymarket
最新

阿巴·卡比爾·尤素福 44%

穆罕默德·貝洛·達爾哈圖 34%

Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo 21%

穆罕默德·拉吉 21%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 阿巴·卡比爾·尤素福

阿巴·卡比爾·尤素福

$60 交易量

44%

icon for 穆罕默德·貝洛·達爾哈圖

穆罕默德·貝洛·達爾哈圖

$20 交易量

34%

icon for Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo

Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo

$28 交易量

21%

icon for 穆罕默德·拉吉

穆罕默德·拉吉

$20 交易量

21%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf’s August 2026 defection from the NNPP to the APC, alongside dozens of lawmakers and local officials, has reshaped the 2027 Kano governorship contest by aligning him with former governor Abdullahi Umar Ganduje’s structures while fracturing ties to Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso’s Kwankwasiyya movement. This realignment pits Yusuf’s APC-backed bid for a second term against opposition candidates such as Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo on the NDC platform and figures like Muhammad Bello Dalhatu, amid additional contenders from the ADC and other parties. Intra-party tensions within the APC and ADC, combined with the influence of established political blocs led by Ganduje, Ibrahim Shekarau, and Kwankwaso, sustain a fragmented field where no single aspirant commands overwhelming support. Trader consensus remains closely balanced because these shifting alliances and potential vote splits among major movements could still alter outcomes before primaries conclude.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$129
結束日期
2027-02-06
市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf’s August 2026 defection from the NNPP to the APC, alongside dozens of lawmakers and local officials, has reshaped the 2027 Kano governorship contest by aligning him with former governor Abdullahi Umar Ganduje’s structures while fracturing ties to Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso’s Kwankwasiyya movement. This realignment pits Yusuf’s APC-backed bid for a second term against opposition candidates such as Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo on the NDC platform and figures like Muhammad Bello Dalhatu, amid additional contenders from the ADC and other parties. Intra-party tensions within the APC and ADC, combined with the influence of established political blocs led by Ganduje, Ibrahim Shekarau, and Kwankwaso, sustain a fragmented field where no single aspirant commands overwhelming support. Trader consensus remains closely balanced because these shifting alliances and potential vote splits among major movements could still alter outcomes before primaries conclude.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$129
結束日期
2027-02-06
市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"奈及利亞卡諾州州長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "阿巴·卡比爾·尤素福" at 44%, followed by "穆罕默德·貝洛·達爾哈圖" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"奈及利亞卡諾州州長選舉獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "奈及利亞卡諾州州長選舉獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "奈及利亞卡諾州州長選舉獲勝者" is "阿巴·卡比爾·尤素福" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "穆罕默德·貝洛·達爾哈圖" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "奈及利亞卡諾州州長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.