Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows Labour and National holding the top two spots, with New Zealand First consistently placing third or very close behind in rolling averages from firms including Talbot Mills, Roy Morgan, and Taxpayers’ Union-Curia. NZ First’s coalition role and Winston Peters’ established voter base have kept its support stable near 8–12 percent despite fluctuations. The Green Party’s recent surge to around 13 percent in the latest Talbot Mills survey has narrowed the gap for third but has not yet displaced NZ First in most aggregates. Smaller parties such as ACT, Labour’s trailing position in some surveys, and Te Pāti Māori remain well below the levels needed to challenge for third place. Traders appear to price NZ First’s structural consistency and historical precedent more heavily than short-term Green momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 56%
Green Party 35%
National Party 5.9%
Labour Party 1.8%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
New Zealand First Party
56%
Green Party
35%
National Party
6%
Labour Party
2%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party 56%
Green Party 35%
National Party 5.9%
Labour Party 1.8%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
New Zealand First Party
$1,011 交易量
56%
Green Party
$497 交易量
35%
National Party
$355 交易量
6%
Labour Party
$495 交易量
2%
Te Pāti Māori
$333 交易量
1%
ACT New Zealand
$484 交易量
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows Labour and National holding the top two spots, with New Zealand First consistently placing third or very close behind in rolling averages from firms including Talbot Mills, Roy Morgan, and Taxpayers’ Union-Curia. NZ First’s coalition role and Winston Peters’ established voter base have kept its support stable near 8–12 percent despite fluctuations. The Green Party’s recent surge to around 13 percent in the latest Talbot Mills survey has narrowed the gap for third but has not yet displaced NZ First in most aggregates. Smaller parties such as ACT, Labour’s trailing position in some surveys, and Te Pāti Māori remain well below the levels needed to challenge for third place. Traders appear to price NZ First’s structural consistency and historical precedent more heavily than short-term Green momentum.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市場開放時間： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$3,175結束日期
2026-11-07市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows Labour and National holding the top two spots, with New Zealand First consistently placing third or very close behind in rolling averages from firms including Talbot Mills, Roy Morgan, and Taxpayers’ Union-Curia. NZ First’s coalition role and Winston Peters’ established voter base have kept its support stable near 8–12 percent despite fluctuations. The Green Party’s recent surge to around 13 percent in the latest Talbot Mills survey has narrowed the gap for third but has not yet displaced NZ First in most aggregates. Smaller parties such as ACT, Labour’s trailing position in some surveys, and Te Pāti Māori remain well below the levels needed to challenge for third place. Traders appear to price NZ First’s structural consistency and historical precedent more heavily than short-term Green momentum.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$3,175結束日期
2026-11-07市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows Labour and National holding the top two spots, with New Zealand First consistently placing third or very close behind in rolling averages from firms including Talbot Mills, Roy Morgan, and Taxpayers’ Union-Curia. NZ First’s coalition role and Winston Peters’ established voter base have kept its support stable near 8–12 percent despite fluctuations. The Green Party’s recent surge to around 13 percent in the latest Talbot Mills survey has narrowed the gap for third but has not yet displaced NZ First in most aggregates. Smaller parties such as ACT, Labour’s trailing position in some surveys, and Te Pāti Māori remain well below the levels needed to challenge for third place. Traders appear to price NZ First’s structural consistency and historical precedent more heavily than short-term Green momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions