Skip to main content
icon for MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者

Dan Koh 77%

Tram Nguyen 18.0%

凱文·拉里維 1.2%

約翰·貝西亞 <1%

Polymarket

$67,866 交易量

Dan Koh 77%

Tram Nguyen 18.0%

凱文·拉里維 1.2%

約翰·貝西亞 <1%

Polymarket

$67,866 交易量

icon for Dan Koh

Dan Koh

$14,648 交易量

77%

icon for Tram Nguyen

Tram Nguyen

$10,741 交易量

18%

icon for 凱文·拉里維

凱文·拉里維

$2,850 交易量

1%

icon for 約翰·貝西亞

約翰·貝西亞

$5,006 交易量

1%

icon for Beth Andres-Beck

Beth Andres-Beck

$3,416 交易量

1%

icon for Seth Moulton

Seth Moulton

$3,217 交易量

<1%

icon for 多米尼克·潘加洛

多米尼克·潘加洛

$7,109 交易量

<1%

icon for 瑪麗亞·蘭卡斯特

瑪麗亞·蘭卡斯特

$3,037 交易量

<1%

icon for Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$3,970 交易量

<1%

icon for Rick Jakious

Rick Jakious

$4,380 交易量

<1%

icon for Rachel Creemers

Rachel Creemers

$3,425 交易量

<1%

icon for Diann Slavit Baylis

Diann Slavit Baylis

$6,065 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary field due to a substantial fundraising edge, with roughly $4.5 million raised and millions in reserves supporting sustained television advertising that emphasizes opposition to the current administration and district priorities like affordability. An internal poll released in early August showed him ahead by 19 points, reflecting stronger name recognition from prior roles in the Biden administration and local government. State Representative Tram Nguyen trails as the primary challenger, highlighting her legislative record and refugee background in recent ads while joining calls for additional debates before the September 1 primary. The remaining candidates trail far behind in both fundraising and visibility, consistent with trader consensus on the frontrunner's structural advantages in a crowded race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$67,866
結束日期
2026-09-15
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary field due to a substantial fundraising edge, with roughly $4.5 million raised and millions in reserves supporting sustained television advertising that emphasizes opposition to the current administration and district priorities like affordability. An internal poll released in early August showed him ahead by 19 points, reflecting stronger name recognition from prior roles in the Biden administration and local government. State Representative Tram Nguyen trails as the primary challenger, highlighting her legislative record and refugee background in recent ads while joining calls for additional debates before the September 1 primary. The remaining candidates trail far behind in both fundraising and visibility, consistent with trader consensus on the frontrunner's structural advantages in a crowded race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$67,866
結束日期
2026-09-15
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

相關

icon for Will Katherine Clark be the MA-05 Democratic nominee?

Will Katherine Clark be the MA-05 Democratic nominee?

97%
icon for 理查德·尼爾會成為馬薩諸塞州第1選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

理查德·尼爾會成為馬薩諸塞州第1選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

90%
是
icon for Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?

Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?

91%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Koh" at 77%, followed by "Tram Nguyen" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $67.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Dan Koh" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tram Nguyen" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.