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icon for 誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？
政治·主要

誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？

icon for 誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？
政治·主要

誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？

$334,314 交易量

2026-08-17
Polymarket

$334,314 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$85,887 交易量

4%

icon for 亞當·克拉姆

亞當·克拉姆

$9,260 交易量

3%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$69,795 交易量

3%

icon for 德斯特里·J·潘恩（Sr.）

德斯特里·J·潘恩（Sr.）

$1,845 交易量

2%

icon for 詹姆斯·帕金

詹姆斯·帕金

$2,977 交易量

2%

icon for 比爾·沃克

比爾·沃克

$3,774 交易量

1%

icon for 雪莉·休斯

雪莉·休斯

$4,374 交易量

1%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$2,300 交易量

1%

icon for 馬特·海拉拉

馬特·海拉拉

$5,178 交易量

1%

icon for 潔西卡·費爾克羅斯

潔西卡·費爾克羅斯

$362 交易量

1%

icon for 南希·達爾斯特倫

南希·達爾斯特倫

$15,318 交易量

1%

icon for 布魯斯·沃爾登

布魯斯·沃爾登

$2,476 交易量

1%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$39,523 交易量

<1%

icon for 埃德娜·德弗里斯

埃德娜·德弗里斯

$13,966 交易量

<1%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$495 交易量

<1%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$414 交易量

29%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.**Alaska’s August 18 open primary used a top-four advancement rule ahead of ranked-choice voting in the November general election, with 17 candidates competing to replace term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy.** Two Democrats—Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich—led early and final tallies with roughly 22.5% and 20.8%, respectively, while Republican votes split across a dozen candidates. Bernadette Wilson and Dave Bronson placed third and fourth (around 10% and 8.1%), with former Attorney General Treg Taylor fifth (about 7.3%). Ballot counting continued through late August, and the Aug. 31 certification/withdrawal deadline proved decisive: Begich’s post-primary withdrawal consolidated Democratic support and elevated Taylor into the final four alongside Kreiss-Tomkins, Wilson, and Bronson. Pre-primary polling had shown Begich and Kreiss-Tomkins ahead but Republicans fragmented, consistent with the results. No further scheduled events remain before the general election.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
交易量
$334,314
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.**Alaska’s August 18 open primary used a top-four advancement rule ahead of ranked-choice voting in the November general election, with 17 candidates competing to replace term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy.** Two Democrats—Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich—led early and final tallies with roughly 22.5% and 20.8%, respectively, while Republican votes split across a dozen candidates. Bernadette Wilson and Dave Bronson placed third and fourth (around 10% and 8.1%), with former Attorney General Treg Taylor fifth (about 7.3%). Ballot counting continued through late August, and the Aug. 31 certification/withdrawal deadline proved decisive: Begich’s post-primary withdrawal consolidated Democratic support and elevated Taylor into the final four alongside Kreiss-Tomkins, Wilson, and Bronson. Pre-primary polling had shown Begich and Kreiss-Tomkins ahead but Republicans fragmented, consistent with the results. No further scheduled events remain before the general election.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
交易量
$334,314
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "戴夫·布朗森" at 100%, followed by "湯姆·貝吉奇" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？" has generated $334.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？" is "戴夫·布朗森" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "湯姆·貝吉奇" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.