David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, consistent with the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-1% margin. Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers endorsed Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive and establishment favorite, after Hong had led most polls for months as the progressive standard-bearer. Crowley's late re-entry into the race, combined with moderate positioning on economic issues and stronger appeal in key Milwaukee areas, produced a final surge that overcame Hong's earlier polling edge. Late-reported absentee ballots and delayed Milwaukee County counting kept the contest extremely close until the end. Scenarios that could still alter the certified margin include a full recount of outstanding ballots or procedural challenges, though reported leads of roughly 1,200 votes and 0.5 points make larger shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Crowley <1% 98.4%
Crowley 4–5% <1%
克勞利 1-2% <1%
Crowley 3–4% <1%
最新
$96,011 交易量
最新
$96,011 交易量
2026-08-13
Hong 6%+
<1%
洪 5–6%
<1%
洪 4–5%
<1%
Hong 3–4%
<1%
洪2–3%
<1%
洪 1–2%
1%
洪 <1%
<1%
Crowley <1%
98%
克勞利 1-2%
1%
Crowley 2–3%
<1%
Crowley 3–4%
1%
Crowley 4–5%
1%
Crowley 5–6%
<1%
Crowley 6%+
<1%
Crowley <1% 98.4%
Crowley 4–5% <1%
克勞利 1-2% <1%
Crowley 3–4% <1%
最新
$96,011 交易量
最新
$96,011 交易量
2026-08-13
Hong 6%+
$12,563 交易量
<1%
洪 5–6%
$3,714 交易量
<1%
洪 4–5%
$3,377 交易量
<1%
Hong 3–4%
$11,011 交易量
<1%
洪2–3%
$2,738 交易量
<1%
洪 1–2%
$7,168 交易量
1%
洪 <1%
$4,537 交易量
<1%
Crowley <1%
$18,825 交易量
98%
克勞利 1-2%
$10,315 交易量
1%
Crowley 2–3%
$7,828 交易量
<1%
Crowley 3–4%
$4,234 交易量
1%
Crowley 4–5%
$2,286 交易量
1%
Crowley 5–6%
$3,312 交易量
<1%
Crowley 6%+
$4,102 交易量
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, consistent with the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-1% margin. Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers endorsed Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive and establishment favorite, after Hong had led most polls for months as the progressive standard-bearer. Crowley's late re-entry into the race, combined with moderate positioning on economic issues and stronger appeal in key Milwaukee areas, produced a final surge that overcame Hong's earlier polling edge. Late-reported absentee ballots and delayed Milwaukee County counting kept the contest extremely close until the end. Scenarios that could still alter the certified margin include a full recount of outstanding ballots or procedural challenges, though reported leads of roughly 1,200 votes and 0.5 points make larger shifts improbable.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
交易量
$96,011結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, consistent with the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-1% margin. Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers endorsed Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive and establishment favorite, after Hong had led most polls for months as the progressive standard-bearer. Crowley's late re-entry into the race, combined with moderate positioning on economic issues and stronger appeal in key Milwaukee areas, produced a final surge that overcame Hong's earlier polling edge. Late-reported absentee ballots and delayed Milwaukee County counting kept the contest extremely close until the end. Scenarios that could still alter the certified margin include a full recount of outstanding ballots or procedural challenges, though reported leads of roughly 1,200 votes and 0.5 points make larger shifts improbable.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$96,011結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, consistent with the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-1% margin. Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers endorsed Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive and establishment favorite, after Hong had led most polls for months as the progressive standard-bearer. Crowley's late re-entry into the race, combined with moderate positioning on economic issues and stronger appeal in key Milwaukee areas, produced a final surge that overcame Hong's earlier polling edge. Late-reported absentee ballots and delayed Milwaukee County counting kept the contest extremely close until the end. Scenarios that could still alter the certified margin include a full recount of outstanding ballots or procedural challenges, though reported leads of roughly 1,200 votes and 0.5 points make larger shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions