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icon for 南卡羅來納州參議院特別共和黨初選：第一輪第二名
政治·主要

南卡羅來納州參議院特別共和黨初選：第一輪第二名

icon for 南卡羅來納州參議院特別共和黨初選：第一輪第二名
政治·主要

南卡羅來納州參議院特別共和黨初選：第一輪第二名

拉爾夫·諾曼 39%

達琳·格雷厄姆·諾登 30%

羅素·弗萊 13%

特雷·高迪 10.0%

Polymarket
最新

拉爾夫·諾曼 39%

達琳·格雷厄姆·諾登 30%

羅素·弗萊 13%

特雷·高迪 10.0%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 拉爾夫·諾曼

拉爾夫·諾曼

$814 交易量

39%

icon for 達琳·格雷厄姆·諾登

達琳·格雷厄姆·諾登

$105 交易量

30%

icon for 羅素·弗萊

羅素·弗萊

$133 交易量

13%

icon for 特雷·高迪

特雷·高迪

$173 交易量

11%

icon for 雪莉·比格斯

雪莉·比格斯

$200 交易量

7%

icon for 馬克·桑福德

馬克·桑福德

$40 交易量

11%

icon for 杜克·巴克納

杜克·巴克納

$479 交易量

4%

icon for 亨利·麥克馬斯特

亨利·麥克馬斯特

$149 交易量

2%

icon for 馬克·林奇

馬克·林奇

$60 交易量

7%

icon for 帕梅拉·艾維特

帕梅拉·艾維特

$90 交易量

10%

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. A crowded field of Republican candidates in South Carolina's special Senate primary, set for August 11 following the vacancy, has kept second-place positioning tightly contested among multiple contenders. Recent candidate filings and the compressed timeline have fragmented support, with no dominant polling leader emerging to consolidate votes ahead of the first round. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as endorsements from state party figures, congressional colleagues, and potential debate performances could shift momentum and clarify rankings. Historical patterns in open-seat primaries show late surges or withdrawals often determine lower placements, and any new polling averages or official announcements in the coming days may create clearer separation before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$2,241
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. A crowded field of Republican candidates in South Carolina's special Senate primary, set for August 11 following the vacancy, has kept second-place positioning tightly contested among multiple contenders. Recent candidate filings and the compressed timeline have fragmented support, with no dominant polling leader emerging to consolidate votes ahead of the first round. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as endorsements from state party figures, congressional colleagues, and potential debate performances could shift momentum and clarify rankings. Historical patterns in open-seat primaries show late surges or withdrawals often determine lower placements, and any new polling averages or official announcements in the coming days may create clearer separation before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$2,241
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

相關

icon for Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

78%
icon for First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

9%
icon for 達琳·格雷厄姆·諾多恩會成為南卡羅來納州參議院的新共和黨提名人嗎？

達琳·格雷厄姆·諾多恩會成為南卡羅來納州參議院的新共和黨提名人嗎？

58%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"南卡羅來納州參議院特別共和黨初選：第一輪第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "拉爾夫·諾曼" at 39%, followed by "達琳·格雷厄姆·諾登" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"南卡羅來納州參議院特別共和黨初選：第一輪第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "南卡羅來納州參議院特別共和黨初選：第一輪第二名," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "南卡羅來納州參議院特別共和黨初選：第一輪第二名" is "拉爾夫·諾曼" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "達琳·格雷厄姆·諾登" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "南卡羅來納州參議院特別共和黨初選：第一輪第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.