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icon for MI-13民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·密歇根州

MI-13民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for MI-13民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·密歇根州

MI-13民主黨初選獲勝者

Shri Thanedar 51%

Donavan McKinney 36%

Shelby Campbell 5.0%

納茲穆爾·哈桑 3.4%

Polymarket

$22,851 交易量

Shri Thanedar 51%

Donavan McKinney 36%

Shelby Campbell 5.0%

納茲穆爾·哈桑 3.4%

Polymarket

$22,851 交易量

Shri Thanedar

$1,200 交易量

51%

Donavan McKinney

$20,369 交易量

36%

Shelby Campbell

$442 交易量

5%

納茲穆爾·哈桑

$427 交易量

3%

安東尼·卡博納羅

$413 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 50.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his substantial fundraising advantage—bolstered by self-funding from his business background—and strong name recognition in the Detroit-anchored district. State Rep. Donavan McKinney trails at 36%, gaining from progressive endorsements including Justice Democrats, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Progressive Working Families Party, and PAL PAC, positioning him as the primary challenger amid criticisms of Thanedar's record. Recent viral backlash over Thanedar's ICE detention center opposition and past animal welfare confrontations has tightened the race slightly in early May, with no public polls available and a fragmented field keeping others below 6%; low-turnout primaries historically favor incumbents.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$22,851
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 50.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his substantial fundraising advantage—bolstered by self-funding from his business background—and strong name recognition in the Detroit-anchored district. State Rep. Donavan McKinney trails at 36%, gaining from progressive endorsements including Justice Democrats, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Progressive Working Families Party, and PAL PAC, positioning him as the primary challenger amid criticisms of Thanedar's record. Recent viral backlash over Thanedar's ICE detention center opposition and past animal welfare confrontations has tightened the race slightly in early May, with no public polls available and a fragmented field keeping others below 6%; low-turnout primaries historically favor incumbents.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$22,851
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-13民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shri Thanedar" at 51%, followed by "Donavan McKinney" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-13民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $22.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-13民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-13民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Shri Thanedar" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donavan McKinney" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-13民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.