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icon for 麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

icon for 麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Ed Markey 73%

塞斯·莫爾頓 25%

Ayanna Pressley <1%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Polymarket

$13,038 交易量

Ed Markey 73%

塞斯·莫爾頓 25%

Ayanna Pressley <1%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Polymarket

$13,038 交易量

Ed Markey

$6,009 交易量

73%

塞斯·莫爾頓

$4,065 交易量

25%

Ayanna Pressley

$1,881 交易量

1%

Alexander Rikleen

$1,084 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey's commanding trader consensus stems from his entrenched incumbency advantage, progressive credentials appealing to Massachusetts Democratic primary voters, and a proven 2020 primary win over a formidable challenger, despite recent Emerson College polling (May 3-4) showing him ahead of Rep. Seth Moulton just 37%-32% among likely voters with 29% undecided. Moulton's momentum reflects superior recent fundraising, a generational change pitch amid Markey's age (80), and tightening surveys like UNH's April results. Rep. Ayanna Pressley, who declined a bid and endorsed Markey in March, and Alexander Rikleen trail with negligible support. High undecideds signal volatility ahead of the September 1 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$13,038
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey's commanding trader consensus stems from his entrenched incumbency advantage, progressive credentials appealing to Massachusetts Democratic primary voters, and a proven 2020 primary win over a formidable challenger, despite recent Emerson College polling (May 3-4) showing him ahead of Rep. Seth Moulton just 37%-32% among likely voters with 29% undecided. Moulton's momentum reflects superior recent fundraising, a generational change pitch amid Markey's age (80), and tightening surveys like UNH's April results. Rep. Ayanna Pressley, who declined a bid and endorsed Markey in March, and Alexander Rikleen trail with negligible support. High undecideds signal volatility ahead of the September 1 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$13,038
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ed Markey" at 73%, followed by "塞斯·莫爾頓" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $13K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Ed Markey" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "塞斯·莫爾頓" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.