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政治·主要

羅德島州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

icon for 羅德島州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者
政治·主要

羅德島州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

最新
Polymarket
最新

傑克·里德

$5,531 交易量

97%

康納·伯布里奇

$3,095 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Senator Jack Reed commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96.6% implied probability to win the Rhode Island Democratic Senate primary on September 9, driven by his three-decade tenure, strong fundraising, and a commanding 65%-15% lead over challenger Connor Burbridge in the latest April University of New Hampshire poll among likely voters. As Rhode Island's senior senator since 1997, Reed benefits from incumbency advantages in a safely Democratic state, facing only a low-profile progressive critic emphasizing Medicare for All and anti-war stances but lacking statewide recognition or institutional support. While odds exceed 90%, a late scandal, health issue, or unexpected voter turnout surge among progressive blocs could narrow the gap, though historical primary base rates favor entrenched incumbents decisively.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$8,626
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Senator Jack Reed commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96.6% implied probability to win the Rhode Island Democratic Senate primary on September 9, driven by his three-decade tenure, strong fundraising, and a commanding 65%-15% lead over challenger Connor Burbridge in the latest April University of New Hampshire poll among likely voters. As Rhode Island's senior senator since 1997, Reed benefits from incumbency advantages in a safely Democratic state, facing only a low-profile progressive critic emphasizing Medicare for All and anti-war stances but lacking statewide recognition or institutional support. While odds exceed 90%, a late scandal, health issue, or unexpected voter turnout surge among progressive blocs could narrow the gap, though historical primary base rates favor entrenched incumbents decisively.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$8,626
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"羅德島州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "傑克·里德" at 97%, followed by "康納·伯布里奇" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"羅德島州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 1, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "羅德島州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "羅德島州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "傑克·里德" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "康納·伯布里奇" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "羅德島州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.