In Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch at 43% implied probability, reflecting his two-decade tenure, strong name recognition, and $1.18 million cash on hand as of late March, yet challenger Patrick Roath has narrowed the gap to 37% through grassroots fundraising ($889,000 raised), endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, and a generational appeal at age 39 versus Lynch's 71. Roath's May 11 ballot qualification and recent criticisms of Lynch's avoidance of in-person town halls and debates sustain the tight contest, with withdrawn candidate Andrew Zylberfink holding 12% residual support. Independent polls, major endorsements, or candidate forums could tip the balance ahead of early voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於史蒂芬·林奇 72%
安德魯·齊爾伯芬克 13.4%
Patrick Roath 0
史蒂芬·林奇
56%
安德魯·齊爾伯芬克
13%
Patrick Roath
49%
史蒂芬·林奇 72%
安德魯·齊爾伯芬克 13.4%
Patrick Roath 0
史蒂芬·林奇
56%
安德魯·齊爾伯芬克
13%
Patrick Roath
49%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch at 43% implied probability, reflecting his two-decade tenure, strong name recognition, and $1.18 million cash on hand as of late March, yet challenger Patrick Roath has narrowed the gap to 37% through grassroots fundraising ($889,000 raised), endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, and a generational appeal at age 39 versus Lynch's 71. Roath's May 11 ballot qualification and recent criticisms of Lynch's avoidance of in-person town halls and debates sustain the tight contest, with withdrawn candidate Andrew Zylberfink holding 12% residual support. Independent polls, major endorsements, or candidate forums could tip the balance ahead of early voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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