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icon for MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·美國大選

MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·美國大選

MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者

Patrick Roath 53%

史蒂芬·林奇 44%

安德魯·齊爾伯芬克 <1%

Polymarket

$12,906 交易量

Patrick Roath 53%

史蒂芬·林奇 44%

安德魯·齊爾伯芬克 <1%

Polymarket

$12,906 交易量

icon for Patrick Roath

Patrick Roath

$4,342 交易量

53%

icon for 史蒂芬·林奇

史蒂芬·林奇

$7,142 交易量

44%

icon for 安德魯·齊爾伯芬克

安德魯·齊爾伯芬克

$1,422 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight MA-08 Democratic primary between incumbent Stephen Lynch and challenger Patrick Roath reflects Lynch’s long incumbency and name recognition offset by Roath’s stronger recent fundraising, small-dollar support, and positioning as a generational-change candidate in a safely Democratic district. A mid-August candidate forum highlighted differences on healthcare, immigration, and corporate PAC funding, while polling has narrowed from earlier double-digit Lynch leads to single digits in the most recent survey. Trader consensus assigns Roath a slim edge, consistent with his momentum in informed-voter tests and the broader anti-incumbent sentiment visible in other Massachusetts Democratic contests. With the September 1 primary only weeks away, final endorsements, turnout among progressive and union voters, and any late developments could still shift the outcome before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$12,906
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight MA-08 Democratic primary between incumbent Stephen Lynch and challenger Patrick Roath reflects Lynch’s long incumbency and name recognition offset by Roath’s stronger recent fundraising, small-dollar support, and positioning as a generational-change candidate in a safely Democratic district. A mid-August candidate forum highlighted differences on healthcare, immigration, and corporate PAC funding, while polling has narrowed from earlier double-digit Lynch leads to single digits in the most recent survey. Trader consensus assigns Roath a slim edge, consistent with his momentum in informed-voter tests and the broader anti-incumbent sentiment visible in other Massachusetts Democratic contests. With the September 1 primary only weeks away, final endorsements, turnout among progressive and union voters, and any late developments could still shift the outcome before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$12,906
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Patrick Roath" at 53%, followed by "史蒂芬·林奇" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $12.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Patrick Roath" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "史蒂芬·林奇" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.