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政治·選舉

密歇根州參議院和州長組合

icon for 密歇根州參議院和州長組合
政治·選舉

密歇根州參議院和州長組合

民主黨橫掃 56%

民主黨贏得州長，共和黨贏得參議員 34%

共和黨橫掃 11%

共和黨贏州長，民主黨贏參議員 3.6%

Polymarket
最新

民主黨橫掃 56%

民主黨贏得州長，共和黨贏得參議員 34%

共和黨橫掃 11%

共和黨贏州長，民主黨贏參議員 3.6%

Polymarket
最新

民主黨橫掃

$126 交易量

56%

民主黨贏得州長，共和黨贏得參議員

$111 交易量

34%

共和黨橫掃

$445 交易量

11%

共和黨贏州長，民主黨贏參議員

$631 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Michigan's 2026 open Senate and gubernatorial races remain closely contested in a swing state, with recent polling averages showing narrow margins between Democratic nominees Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson and their Republican counterparts Mike Rogers and John James. The primaries concluded on August 4 with El-Sayed and Benson prevailing, leaving both general election matchups rated as toss-ups by multiple forecasters and reflecting balanced voter sentiment across key demographics and regions. Trader consensus on a Democratic sweep sits near even odds because neither party's ticket holds a decisive polling or fundraising edge, while split outcomes stay viable given historical ticket-splitting patterns and turnout variables in battleground contests. Upcoming factors such as fall debate performances, economic indicators, and national midterm dynamics could widen gaps by shifting independent voter preferences or altering base mobilization.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,313
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Michigan's 2026 open Senate and gubernatorial races remain closely contested in a swing state, with recent polling averages showing narrow margins between Democratic nominees Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson and their Republican counterparts Mike Rogers and John James. The primaries concluded on August 4 with El-Sayed and Benson prevailing, leaving both general election matchups rated as toss-ups by multiple forecasters and reflecting balanced voter sentiment across key demographics and regions. Trader consensus on a Democratic sweep sits near even odds because neither party's ticket holds a decisive polling or fundraising edge, while split outcomes stay viable given historical ticket-splitting patterns and turnout variables in battleground contests. Upcoming factors such as fall debate performances, economic indicators, and national midterm dynamics could widen gaps by shifting independent voter preferences or altering base mobilization.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,313
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"密歇根州參議院和州長組合" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "民主黨橫掃" at 56%, followed by "民主黨贏得州長，共和黨贏得參議員" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"密歇根州參議院和州長組合" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "密歇根州參議院和州長組合," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "密歇根州參議院和州長組合" is "民主黨橫掃" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "民主黨贏得州長，共和黨贏得參議員" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密歇根州參議院和州長組合" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.