Skip to main content
icon for 緬因州參議院和州長組合
政治·選舉

緬因州參議院和州長組合

icon for 緬因州參議院和州長組合
政治·選舉

緬因州參議院和州長組合

民主黨橫掃 63%

民主黨贏州長，共和黨贏參議員 30%

共和黨橫掃 8%

共和黨贏州長，民主黨贏參議院 2.3%

Polymarket
最新

民主黨橫掃 63%

民主黨贏州長，共和黨贏參議員 30%

共和黨橫掃 8%

共和黨贏州長，民主黨贏參議院 2.3%

Polymarket
最新

民主黨橫掃

$1,484 交易量

63%

民主黨贏州長，共和黨贏參議員

$182 交易量

30%

共和黨橫掃

$118 交易量

8%

共和黨贏州長，民主黨贏參議院

$36 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Maine’s 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature an open governor’s seat and a competitive Senate contest. Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree holds a clear lead in recent polling for governor after winning her party’s ranked-choice primary, while Republican nominee Bobby Charles trails. In the Senate race, incumbent Republican Susan Collins faces Democrat Troy Jackson, who replaced the prior nominee following a July withdrawal; multiple August surveys show Jackson narrowly ahead or statistically tied. These dynamics support trader consensus around a Democratic sweep as the leading outcome, with split results remaining plausible given the Senate’s toss-up character and limited time before the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,821
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Maine’s 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature an open governor’s seat and a competitive Senate contest. Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree holds a clear lead in recent polling for governor after winning her party’s ranked-choice primary, while Republican nominee Bobby Charles trails. In the Senate race, incumbent Republican Susan Collins faces Democrat Troy Jackson, who replaced the prior nominee following a July withdrawal; multiple August surveys show Jackson narrowly ahead or statistically tied. These dynamics support trader consensus around a Democratic sweep as the leading outcome, with split results remaining plausible given the Senate’s toss-up character and limited time before the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,821
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

相關

icon for 共和黨會贏得新罕布什州州長選舉，民主黨會贏得新罕布什州參議員選舉嗎？

共和黨會贏得新罕布什州州長選舉，民主黨會贏得新罕布什州參議員選舉嗎？

68%
是
icon for 民主黨會橫掃密西根州參議院和州長選舉嗎？

民主黨會橫掃密西根州參議院和州長選舉嗎？

56%
是
icon for 民主黨會橫掃阿拉斯加參議院和州長選舉嗎？

民主黨會橫掃阿拉斯加參議院和州長選舉嗎？

36%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"緬因州參議院和州長組合" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "民主黨橫掃" at 63%, followed by "民主黨贏州長，共和黨贏參議員" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"緬因州參議院和州長組合" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "緬因州參議院和州長組合," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "緬因州參議院和州長組合" is "民主黨橫掃" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "民主黨贏州長，共和黨贏參議員" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "緬因州參議院和州長組合" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.