Yiwarr McGrath, preselected by Territory Labor on August 25 as the candidate for the September 12 Mulka by-election, holds a commanding position in trader assessments following the mid-August resignation of independent member Yiŋiya Mark Guyula. The remote East Arnhem Land seat features a majority Indigenous electorate with a history of strong support for local Yolŋu voices, as seen in Guyula’s 75% primary vote in 2024 against the Country Liberal Party. McGrath, a registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin’ku, emphasizes healthcare access and continuation of Guyula’s community-focused approach in a short campaign with early voting underway. The sole other declared candidate, independent Andrew Blamey, trails significantly. Potential shifts could arise from late independent momentum, preference flows in a preferential voting system, or unexpected turnout patterns among remote communities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-09-12
伊瓦爾·麥格拉思
96%
安德魯·布雷米
3%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
伊瓦爾·麥格拉思
$1,192 交易量
96%
安德魯·布雷米
$678 交易量
3%
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath, preselected by Territory Labor on August 25 as the candidate for the September 12 Mulka by-election, holds a commanding position in trader assessments following the mid-August resignation of independent member Yiŋiya Mark Guyula. The remote East Arnhem Land seat features a majority Indigenous electorate with a history of strong support for local Yolŋu voices, as seen in Guyula’s 75% primary vote in 2024 against the Country Liberal Party. McGrath, a registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin’ku, emphasizes healthcare access and continuation of Guyula’s community-focused approach in a short campaign with early voting underway. The sole other declared candidate, independent Andrew Blamey, trails significantly. Potential shifts could arise from late independent momentum, preference flows in a preferential voting system, or unexpected turnout patterns among remote communities.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,870結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETA by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath, preselected by Territory Labor on August 25 as the candidate for the September 12 Mulka by-election, holds a commanding position in trader assessments following the mid-August resignation of independent member Yiŋiya Mark Guyula. The remote East Arnhem Land seat features a majority Indigenous electorate with a history of strong support for local Yolŋu voices, as seen in Guyula’s 75% primary vote in 2024 against the Country Liberal Party. McGrath, a registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin’ku, emphasizes healthcare access and continuation of Guyula’s community-focused approach in a short campaign with early voting underway. The sole other declared candidate, independent Andrew Blamey, trails significantly. Potential shifts could arise from late independent momentum, preference flows in a preferential voting system, or unexpected turnout patterns among remote communities.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
交易量
$1,870結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETYiwarr McGrath, preselected by Territory Labor on August 25 as the candidate for the September 12 Mulka by-election, holds a commanding position in trader assessments following the mid-August resignation of independent member Yiŋiya Mark Guyula. The remote East Arnhem Land seat features a majority Indigenous electorate with a history of strong support for local Yolŋu voices, as seen in Guyula’s 75% primary vote in 2024 against the Country Liberal Party. McGrath, a registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin’ku, emphasizes healthcare access and continuation of Guyula’s community-focused approach in a short campaign with early voting underway. The sole other declared candidate, independent Andrew Blamey, trails significantly. Potential shifts could arise from late independent momentum, preference flows in a preferential voting system, or unexpected turnout patterns among remote communities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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