The Abbotsford-Mission by-election, set for September 26 with advance voting from September 18-23, features a tight contest driven by the recent resignation of Conservative MLA Reann Gasper to enable party leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay to seek a seat. Trader pricing reflects Findlay's narrow edge as the Conservative nominee in a riding the party captured in 2024, offset by Pam Alexis's strong local profile as the former NDP MLA and cabinet minister who lost narrowly there last year. Additional factors include CentreBC's entry of Lakhwinder Jhaj, lingering Conservative caucus defections, a compressed four-week campaign ahead of nominations closing September 5, and the possibility of further candidates. These elements sustain balanced probabilities among leading contenders while leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns, late endorsements, or voter response to provincial issues such as housing and health care.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Kerry-Lynne Findlay 49%
Pam Alexis 42%
拉奎溫德·賈傑 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
49%
Pam Alexis
42%
拉奎溫德·賈傑
24%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 49%
Pam Alexis 42%
拉奎溫德·賈傑 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
$407 交易量
49%
Pam Alexis
$0 交易量
42%
拉奎溫德·賈傑
$23 交易量
24%
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).The Abbotsford-Mission by-election, set for September 26 with advance voting from September 18-23, features a tight contest driven by the recent resignation of Conservative MLA Reann Gasper to enable party leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay to seek a seat. Trader pricing reflects Findlay's narrow edge as the Conservative nominee in a riding the party captured in 2024, offset by Pam Alexis's strong local profile as the former NDP MLA and cabinet minister who lost narrowly there last year. Additional factors include CentreBC's entry of Lakhwinder Jhaj, lingering Conservative caucus defections, a compressed four-week campaign ahead of nominations closing September 5, and the possibility of further candidates. These elements sustain balanced probabilities among leading contenders while leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns, late endorsements, or voter response to provincial issues such as housing and health care.
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
交易量
$430結束日期
2026-09-26市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ETA by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).The Abbotsford-Mission by-election, set for September 26 with advance voting from September 18-23, features a tight contest driven by the recent resignation of Conservative MLA Reann Gasper to enable party leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay to seek a seat. Trader pricing reflects Findlay's narrow edge as the Conservative nominee in a riding the party captured in 2024, offset by Pam Alexis's strong local profile as the former NDP MLA and cabinet minister who lost narrowly there last year. Additional factors include CentreBC's entry of Lakhwinder Jhaj, lingering Conservative caucus defections, a compressed four-week campaign ahead of nominations closing September 5, and the possibility of further candidates. These elements sustain balanced probabilities among leading contenders while leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns, late endorsements, or voter response to provincial issues such as housing and health care.
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
交易量
$430結束日期
2026-09-26市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ETThe Abbotsford-Mission by-election, set for September 26 with advance voting from September 18-23, features a tight contest driven by the recent resignation of Conservative MLA Reann Gasper to enable party leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay to seek a seat. Trader pricing reflects Findlay's narrow edge as the Conservative nominee in a riding the party captured in 2024, offset by Pam Alexis's strong local profile as the former NDP MLA and cabinet minister who lost narrowly there last year. Additional factors include CentreBC's entry of Lakhwinder Jhaj, lingering Conservative caucus defections, a compressed four-week campaign ahead of nominations closing September 5, and the possibility of further candidates. These elements sustain balanced probabilities among leading contenders while leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns, late endorsements, or voter response to provincial issues such as housing and health care.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions