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地震 預測與賠率

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9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

6%

$238K 交易量

$9.3K Liq.

6

Ends 6 個月內

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

4%

$685K 交易量

$42.6K Liq.

27

Ends 6 個月內

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

17%

$12.8K 交易量

$302 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

88%

10

$252K 交易量

$45.8K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Is Earth flat?

Is Earth flat?

2%

$21.8K 交易量

$262K Liq.

31

Ends 6 個月內

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 3?

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 3?

94%

Shadowrocket

$2.3K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?

1%

9

$63.7K 交易量

$15.5K Liq.

Ends 17 分鐘內

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?

3%

>5

$25.5K 交易量

$10.8K Liq.

Ends 17 分鐘內

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

43%

0

$1.1K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Megaquake by June 30?

Megaquake by June 30?

3%

$85.4K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Megaquake by July 31?

Megaquake by July 31?

13%

$3.7K 交易量

$3.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

$116K 交易量

$7.8K Liq.

9

Ends 9 個月內

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

25%

$224K 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

15

Ends 6 個月內

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

32%

11

$312 交易量

$3.8K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

34%

$333K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

11

Ends 6 個月內

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

$634K 交易量

$51.9K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

37%

14–16

$1M 交易量

$17.8K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Megaquake by December 31?

Megaquake by December 31?

<1%

$0 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Megaquake by December 31?

Megaquake by December 31?

99%

$0 交易量

$0 Liq.

Megaquake by September 30?

Megaquake by September 30?

<1%

$0 交易量

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 地震.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for 地震 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 37% chance to 14–16. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 地震 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.